La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa405d6a8f1b08dd742c1bd3e9fc54d23c497d37e7d5dcb42c03672cbfbe73546
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 71c | 116,500$82,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,980.22 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 29c | 50,943$14,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,557.85 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 31c | 12,888$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.3 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 12,833$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.13 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 29c | 11,204$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.21 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 25c | 9,774$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.04 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 6,164$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 28c | 6,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Over | 1c | 2,349$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Over | 22c | 1,853$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…61a9backed Under | 80c | 1,510$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 40c | 1,500$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.8 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.91 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 29c | 1,336$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.08 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 71c | 1,268$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.68 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 76c | 1,233$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Over | 43c | 1,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 41c | 1,092$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…a55cbacked Under | 77c | 651.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Over | 38c | 531.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over | 29c | 483.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 31c | 461.43$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 29c | 417.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Over | 33c | 378.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 43c | 358.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 31c | 300.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 20c | 275$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Over | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 28c | 228.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 26c | 180.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Over | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 69c | 149$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 35c | 141.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 26c | 140.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd952…c0ccbacked Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b77…11d2backed Over | 36c | 133.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 68c | 107$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…7b4ebacked Over | 38c | 104.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…bde4backed Over | 31c | 100.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 40c | 92.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Under | 70c | 89.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 67c | 82.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Over | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…f9f7backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 70c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…1847backed Over | 33c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under | 76c | 50.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…bcc3backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 36c | 41.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 39c | 38.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…dacbbacked Over | 32c | 33.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Over | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 32c | 32.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 34c | 30.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Under | 72c | 27.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Under | 60c | 24.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 67c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 63c | 17.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.