TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb737…98b9backed Over55c11,701$6,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,265.291181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c11,099$5,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,323.714,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under46c8,328$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,867.7290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over54c5,555$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.2920054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c5,040$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.223,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over44c3,999$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.454131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over58c3,300$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.223756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Under4c3,140$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.95175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.978853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Under45c2,526$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.73040%12 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc89b…451fbacked Over56c2,005$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.67475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9408142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.188252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c1,617$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.361,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over64c1,503$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.418236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9838729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under49c984.23$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.5225248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over54c958.89$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.091127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under47c951.06$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4472638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Under46c950$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4372944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under45c690.84$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.8823452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ef…d497backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under43c599.98$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9510441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over54c567.04$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.844961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over54c523.02$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.0611820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c447.06$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.011,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over54c438.89$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under40c400.12$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.885056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over64c310.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.723450%17 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe733…0accbacked Under50c301$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13811947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under46c249.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9924052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over53c218.87$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8710850%54 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005644.6%25 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae04…7411backed Under47c210.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over54c205.56$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5649447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Under16c200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+96.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a4…554abacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bbe…6b0abacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Over52c174.9$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.286933.3%23 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over53c171.7$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.72035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under52c171$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.923145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b77…11d2backed Over47c161.7$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over51c155.29$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.098732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.156235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under49c126$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.123234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2285…4bf1backed Over54c122.86$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over54c120.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.375453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under46c114$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.442536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.119557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xece5…2b44backed Over54c109.95$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Under45c109.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.092133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under45c105$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.256836.8%25 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4618152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754721.3%10 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4212875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x433a…e3d9backed Over57c97.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.341070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under46c86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5616151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under46c86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5619751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over55c85.55$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.52050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7214244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over54c77.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7811741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0722553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.077843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.739966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6621849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c70.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4361557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d2a…8a7bbacked Over53c61.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8eda…1847backed Over54c56.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5610244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under72c55.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ff…4ddebacked Over54c53.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x914b…a886backed Over52c53.21$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.542373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under45c52.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6728055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under46c51.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6620054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Over49c50.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.613259.4%19 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+23.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Over39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.53132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under46c47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6220652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over54c45.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.757251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Under48c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick61cpaid-59.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Under48c41.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca44…6d4ebacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Over48c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Over54c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.413052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.991376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+36.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x097f…df92backed Over53c39.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.621942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.