TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93a7…8db6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: College Football, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST4413.6%6 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$83.09
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18.41
Bucks vs. Grizzliesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30.95
1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18
1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.95
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32.56
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.3
1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+733.3%+$88
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+657.2%+$108.39
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST320%0 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Leicester City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.62
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.52
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18
AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40.25
Will Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST248.3%2 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid+45.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Red Wings vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.98
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Stars vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Blue Jackets vs. Ducksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14.84
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.1
Rangers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+2,122.2%+$955
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Bruins vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+1,171.8%+$193.09
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27.2
All 24 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+1,163.2%+$200.97
US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$136.5
Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$21.91
US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40.63
Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18.89
Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$38.44
US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21.53
Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$22.75
Juventus FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23.7
Juventus FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.56
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+525%+$84
AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+96.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17
CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$29.1
Will Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+589.7%+$171
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+1,100%+$275
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$31
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+566.7%+$66.89
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$83
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick8cpaid+242.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+809.1%+$356
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+488.2%+$83
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$37.06
Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26.14
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+830.2%+$357
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$54.5
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.36per pick8cpaid+385.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.