NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7355c691b541e2738da5c2a47fcf18603ab2ba289543204b87ed7d69539bfcde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $673,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $675,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $673,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Senators | 61c | 377,423$230,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230,228.09 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 39c | 207,934$81,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,276.92 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Sabres | 46c | 170,601$78,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,824.1 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Senators | 60c | 81,173$48,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,703.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sabres | 40c | 46,365$18,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,805.37 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Sabres | 41c | 35,000$14,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,649.97 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sabres | 39c | 24,705$9,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,070.12 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Senators | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Senators | 59c | 12,500$7,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,374.98 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 40c | 12,282$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,341.85 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Senators | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Senators | 58c | 11,252$6,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,526.12 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Sabres | 41c | 8,888$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.92 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sabres | 41c | 7,771$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.17 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Senators | 59c | 7,115$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.94 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Senators | 61c | 6,984$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.64 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sabres | 40c | 5,729$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.53 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Senators | 51c | 5,599$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.32 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Sabres | 40c | 5,564$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.13 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres | 40c | 5,439$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.67 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 41c | 5,408$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.52 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ec…a946backed Senators | 58c | 5,250$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Sabres | 39c | 5,096$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.69 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 59c | 5,078$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.41 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Senators | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Sabres | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Sabres | 42c | 4,369$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.01 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Senators | 59c | 4,165$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.35 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Senators | 55c | 4,164$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.2 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Senators | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 53cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Sabres | 40c | 3,589$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.4 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Senators | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Senators | 59c | 3,090$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.1 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Senators | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Sabres | 41c | 2,920$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.8 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 43c | 2,865$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.24 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Sabres | 40c | 2,800$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sabres | 42c | 2,760$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.8 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Sabres | 41c | 2,710$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.76 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 40c | 2,566$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.72 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Sabres | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Senators | 59c | 2,302$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.21 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sabres | 40c | 2,125$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Senators | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Senators | 50c | 1,813$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.3 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sabres | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 45c | 1,560$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.46 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sabres | 49c | 1,552$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.21 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sabres | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Sabres | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.41 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 1c | 1,232$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sabres | 39c | 1,200$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Senators | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sabres | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Sabres | 39c | 1,182$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.12 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Senators | 4c | 1,100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Sabres | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Sabres | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Sabres | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres | 41c | 999.97$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Sabres | 41c | 999.47$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.35 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres | 41c | 919.79$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.73 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Sabres | 40c | 875$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Sabres | 40c | 867$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 44c | 801.65$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.51 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Sabres | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Sabres | 43c | 700.48$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.48 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f4…c918backed Senators | 61c | 700$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Sabres | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Sabres | 39c | 630$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.3 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Sabres | 48c | 622.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.48 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Senators | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Sabres | 41c | 599.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Sabres | 40c | 581$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Sabres | 41c | 525.32$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.98 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Senators | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Sabres | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Senators | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Senators | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 39c | 480.61$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.17 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Sabres | 51c | 480$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.26 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabres | 45c | 476.42$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.3 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Sabres | 49c | 410.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.65 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Sabres | 41c | 400.56$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.33 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Sabres | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sabres | 43c | 382.5$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.84 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Sabres | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Sabres | 53c | 350.16$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.19 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…bbc7backed Senators | 60c | 341.67$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Sabres | 41c | 341.32$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.04 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…94b2backed Senators | 60c | 333.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Sabres | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Senators | 61c | 329$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Senators | 51c | 317$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Senators | 47c | 302$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Senators | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Senatorsthis page
- Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.