TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Over46c3,970$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.21,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under54c3,954$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,81989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe01d…4015backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51a…2552backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9196…a4a3backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…0e17backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5476…2fd7backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ce…0330backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7586…5206backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb454…d369backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e8…1ae5backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…0c06backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae3…04fdbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x369e…4f67backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76fb…0eb8backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e3…0b14backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1533…4a05backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f5…181bbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7320…196abacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b7c…f42cbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc035…87a2backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…b433backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cbe…bc2bbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x914f…86d9backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9747…1982backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3303…379fbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x829e…27b3backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc57…685cbacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c7…ae1cbacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb21…9e36backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd45…41a6backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b7…94d0backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb4…d8bbbacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9454…d0e3backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ed…24aebacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9325…2706backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4313…a5c5backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0272…3c0ebacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb574…6479backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0015…8599backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd0…9f01backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…3056backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd458…eefabacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf4…1229backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f3…aa1dbacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda7a…0d4ebacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a79…42cbbacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f29…f368backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae6…34e2backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x263d…87dfbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e3…237cbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f5…9033backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c2…c9c9backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x862d…554cbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb3…7a6cbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe10e…03babacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aba…d4e6backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338d…97e6backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e76…e97ebacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cce…1abdbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de9…3cb1backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…cd14backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb212…c0ffbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb02a…f8a0backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x738b…dd0abacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07c1…21eebacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f3…d0bcbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bc…2ed8backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa591…b60fbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7190…9351backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…4e9bbacked Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee0…a135backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d38…b09ebacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ddc…44b2backed Over48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe07e…052abacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb7…52c1backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17c…226cbacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e83…f732backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32a…7589backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4e…01d3backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8436…53a9backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677b…413abacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x514d…4a1fbacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe29f…2830backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeba8…673fbacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ca…b7a4backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98cb…bc88backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1692…9a5dbacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a80…e6b4backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x115c…7b1dbacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…c120backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62b…db87backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x905f…64f4backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefd4…851cbacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfccb…703abacked Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x642f…c7e7backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde6b…feb7backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x015f…e108backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ece…5442backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7723…d8d7backed Under52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.