TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2d7…da62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
491
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst WNBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT18840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 188 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.46
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$593
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+103%+$1,089.4
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.12
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,546Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+342.4%+$5,292.39
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+669.2%+$669.23
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,801.11
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Sabres vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Utah vs. Devilsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.91
Wild vs. Ducksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$817.36
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,767.66
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Lightning vs. Kingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+279.4%+$1,117.66
Islanders vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,006.31
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+99.2%+$1,041.11
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$443.4
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$501.47
Showing 25 of 188 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT14725.9%38 W · 109 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.73
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.87
Argentina to score first vs. England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.07
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.13
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,218.22
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.19
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$1,209.4
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,684Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$906.64
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$387
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+304%+$1,486.76
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+260.3%+$414.78
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.23
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.84
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.99
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.52
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.16
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,287
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.84
Switzerland to score first vs. Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.14
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT9837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$867.69
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.66
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$50.17
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$337
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+232.2%+$394.81
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$216.57
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.7
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.83
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$468
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,427.2
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.33
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$88.82
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$314
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$476
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$221.87
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$925.48
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Lois Boissonbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$397.46
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$189.62
Prague 2: Cezar Cretu vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.64
Set 2 Winner: Parry vs Boissonbacked Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.15
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$538
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,943Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$1,480.04
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarrobacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.61
Figueira Da Foz: Barbora Palicova vs Jil Teichmannbacked Barbora Palicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Parma: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Royan: Daniel Jade vs Raphael Perotbacked Raphael Perot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$312.24
Poznan: Martin Krumich vs Alan Waznybacked Alan Wazny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88%+$439.39
Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Parma: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$401.83
Poznan: Hynek Barton vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naefbacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyerbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
ITF Nice: Alina Granwehr vs Jenny Limbacked Jenny Lim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+151%+$284.55
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$466.52
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanubacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$475
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnenbacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$985
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-71.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
WNBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$99.36
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$411
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$329.5
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$287
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.2
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+126.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+158.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.