NHL · resolved market
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52847ca1413b76a5570b97c0c432e38dbe61b0140f9d45e912604591b08f6fca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,778,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,466,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,778,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 760 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc5…afc9backed Yes | 2c | 155,325$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 9c | 102,523$9,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,587.33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Yes | 9c | 97,890$9,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,097.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Yes | 5c | 66,637$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,398.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 64,401$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.99 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 4c | 55,128$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.31 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 11c | 52,733$5,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,675.38 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 3c | 51,409$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.76 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…05efbacked Yes | 7c | 50,000$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…701ebacked Yes | 6c | 49,716$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…36a9backed Yes | 1c | 44,444$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.49 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 4c | 41,522$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.3 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked Yes | 6c | 39,456$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes | 4c | 35,362$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.94 | 478 | 45.8%219 W · 259 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 11c | 32,128$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.41 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d9…ecd7backed Yes | 7c | 29,024$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Yes | 6c | 26,694$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 4c | 25,629$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.13 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1183…a6cbbacked Yes | 12c | 24,748$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Yes | 5c | 23,590$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +47%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 5c | 21,000$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.19 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…0fa3backed Yes | 5c | 20,444$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af7…46c5backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 19,529$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.39 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Yes | 4c | 19,200$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.32 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 4c | 18,766$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.18 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae54…37d1backed Yes | 6c | 17,767$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 8c | 17,418$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Yes | 7c | 17,167$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.12 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 5c | 16,836$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.67 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 7c | 16,169$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.68 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…9fc0backed Yes | 4c | 13,306$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 12,887$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.79 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60aa…8b01backed Yes | 6c | 12,752$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 3c | 12,569$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…90babacked Yes | 1c | 12,503$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15dc…77c8backed Yes | 4c | 12,448$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 4c | 12,418$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.05 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Yes | 3c | 12,245$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…7776backed Yes | 4c | 12,198$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…9884backed Yes | 4c | 12,142$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2914…27edbacked Yes | 5c | 11,682$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…09c7backed Yes | 3c | 11,633$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.35 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605b…df31backed Yes | 5c | 10,582$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Yes | 10c | 10,475$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.74 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Yes | 1c | 10,458$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 7c | 10,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x020d…398ebacked Yes | 11c | 9,927$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 9,658$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes | 8c | 8,952$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.95 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…76aebacked Yes | 5c | 8,907$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 3c | 8,840$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.52 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…e464backed Yes | 7c | 8,383$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Yes | 4c | 8,311$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…fdf3backed Yes | 5c | 8,195$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a0…60d2backed Yes | 5c | 7,913$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2511…8501backed Yes | 6c | 7,880$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes | 7c | 7,829$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206d…ae27backed Yes | 9c | 7,733$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf669…b853backed Yes | 5c | 7,725$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 4c | 7,606$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.34 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 1c | 7,550$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…537ebacked Yes | 12c | 7,543$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9109…3602backed Yes | 4c | 7,541$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…35ebbacked Yes | 19c | 7,145$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 7,074$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.35 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6c…0619backed Yes | 2c | 6,650$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…163fbacked Yes | 6c | 6,549$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Yes | 3c | 6,381$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.37 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Yes | 5c | 6,164$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.18 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…890fbacked Yes | 12c | 5,987$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…5a28backed Yes | 9c | 5,960$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Yes | 5c | 5,930$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 9c | 5,667$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.29 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…9e51backed Yes | 4c | 5,605$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,581$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Yes | 6c | 5,361$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…1fbdbacked Yes | 9c | 5,350$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 5c | 5,250$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.84 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 5c | 5,037$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.43 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,936$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ba…67b1backed Yes | 7c | 4,933$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cba…a822backed Yes | 7c | 4,887$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0faa…824cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,878$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…84a9backed Yes | 2c | 4,866$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes | 9c | 4,667$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…8b6cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,541$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.71 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,515$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.82 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 10c | 4,455$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.29 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 4c | 4,436$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 3c | 4,251$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab6…bcb9backed Yes | 3c | 4,238$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…05b9backed Yes | 9c | 4,215$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…b9c4backed Yes | 8c | 4,120$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…7a31backed Yes | 5c | 4,083$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…c741backed Yes | 5c | 4,044$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…d221backed Yes | 8c | 4,029$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…ed24backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…19a7backed Yes | 4c | 3,953$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.