TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,407,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,899,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,407,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c79,400$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.2826136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Yes2c50,000$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.861,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf178…c931backed Yes0c32,237$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0aa…fd5fbacked Yes1c25,188$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes1c25,097$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.42254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5d…5d1fbacked Yes1c25,005$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e3…bd5dbacked Yes1c24,730$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8625…9fb8backed Yes0c23,055$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb0e…4512backed Yes1c21,938$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6d…b16cbacked Yes1c18,604$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46d…d96cbacked Yes1c18,446$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd675…153dbacked Yes0c18,271$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb34b…9cb4backed Yes1c18,192$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceec…075fbacked Yes1c18,055$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a4…a9a7backed Yes1c17,646$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e0…f398backed Yes1c17,569$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f9e…d16bbacked Yes1c17,488$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7301…5dd9backed Yes1c17,144$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48f…1751backed Yes1c16,718$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0769…fe6cbacked Yes1c16,670$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9b…049dbacked Yes1c16,476$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a0…ab58backed Yes2c16,458$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb085…0326backed Yes1c16,303$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba03…ca87backed Yes1c16,152$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb2a…1530backed Yes1c16,051$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ef…edc4backed Yes1c15,204$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf1…7d4dbacked Yes1c14,977$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4942…7a4fbacked Yes1c14,975$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c14,157$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5143944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x266f…a16dbacked Yes1c14,098$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b15…f1e3backed Yes1c13,847$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes1c13,613$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3834032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes1c13,071$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3126547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes1c12,819$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.512711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c4…9f57backed Yes1c12,782$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5007…48cabacked Yes1c12,649$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc3…3ac1backed Yes1c12,393$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4001…048ebacked Yes1c12,384$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a5…a4aabacked Yes1c12,318$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fe…0accbacked Yes1c11,537$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes1c11,527$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8270%0 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes0c11,486$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7540…eae3backed Yes1c11,380$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Yes1c11,213$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1818931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ce…1a2dbacked Yes2c11,209$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae43…8194backed Yes1c10,447$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.911546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…32a1backed Yes1c10,150$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x570d…85a7backed Yes1c10,013$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes1c9,830$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.021,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a4c…a000backed Yes1c9,787$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes1c9,556$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.272846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68ec…634abacked Yes1c9,440$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dd…1bafbacked Yes1c9,428$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a5b…167bbacked Yes1c9,302$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc191…f591backed Yes1c9,293$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7468…db7bbacked Yes1c9,281$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e1…5161backed Yes1c9,269$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x720f…4c7dbacked Yes1c9,181$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ad…316ebacked Yes1c9,180$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc448…0d03backed Yes1c9,082$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b4…87aabacked Yes1c9,065$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc574…bb76backed Yes1c9,022$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1370…7e99backed Yes1c8,999$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8096…e508backed Yes1c8,999$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc4…a9d9backed Yes1c8,968$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938b…ab8abacked Yes1c8,968$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0964…46c6backed Yes1c8,934$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b55…7ec8backed Yes1c8,934$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68aa…b7ddbacked Yes1c8,927$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6947…5406backed Yes1c8,927$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83c…e47bbacked Yes1c8,898$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6053…843bbacked Yes1c8,865$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eab…f09ebacked Yes1c8,860$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c6…c0dbbacked Yes1c8,837$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7b…0fbbbacked Yes1c8,744$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x642a…89a6backed Yes1c8,739$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x077b…1dc9backed Yes1c8,739$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Yes1c8,739$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0821534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffab…3f0abacked Yes1c8,646$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e68…1d06backed Yes1c8,639$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889e…b06bbacked Yes1c8,638$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2558…1a7cbacked Yes1c8,628$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x199e…ec86backed Yes1c8,619$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e3…a04ebacked Yes1c8,619$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6740%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbabd…8a30backed Yes2c8,597$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a75…3fe0backed Yes1c8,576$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd85e…c78bbacked Yes1c8,544$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x996e…ce1bbacked Yes2c8,452$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb99f…aeb2backed Yes1c8,448$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8915…4821backed Yes1c8,372$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a9…2053backed Yes1c8,368$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e35…5a3dbacked Yes1c8,367$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda00…7740backed Yes2c8,339$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e40…6799backed Yes1c8,332$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4b…5f8cbacked Yes1c8,325$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd394…564dbacked Yes2c8,289$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes1c8,279$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.256414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8115…9b8ebacked Yes2c8,267$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3da…2a88backed Yes1c8,238$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0662backed Yes1c8,238$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.