NHL · resolved market
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc61a442adb770e35e193973c4fc1e16b219490028b792257aa5cb46619d5d977
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,332,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $697,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,332,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 56,100$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…fa80backed Yes | 0c | 33,017$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Yes | 1c | 18,508$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 2c | 17,370$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.33 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 0c | 16,939$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,244$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe0…64b7backed Yes | 0c | 16,200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 4c | 14,567$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.38 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b0…cf23backed Yes | 0c | 13,333$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…10e8backed Yes | 0c | 12,519$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 11,310$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a57…1be7backed Yes | 1c | 11,288$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960d…b188backed Yes | 1c | 10,700$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ac…c79fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,700$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa7…7eb9backed Yes | 1c | 10,690$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…8207backed Yes | 1c | 10,690$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…2f0ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,655$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db8…dd6ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,610$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…95bebacked Yes | 1c | 10,610$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…06e3backed Yes | 0c | 10,299$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1b…891ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,121$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…3fdebacked Yes | 2c | 10,111$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…84edbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…3358backed Yes | 0c | 9,767$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…f383backed Yes | 0c | 9,699$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 9,513$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…c262backed Yes | 1c | 9,159$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…77cbbacked Yes | 1c | 9,159$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…3677backed Yes | 1c | 9,137$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767b…9fa8backed Yes | 1c | 9,137$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…d937backed Yes | 0c | 9,093$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…94dcbacked Yes | 0c | 9,035$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…e64abacked Yes | 0c | 9,015$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a6…e6c0backed Yes | 0c | 9,015$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…c74abacked Yes | 0c | 9,015$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…3b13backed Yes | 0c | 9,005$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ca…9dd0backed Yes | 0c | 9,005$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…e6f1backed Yes | 0c | 9,005$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…44a2backed Yes | 0c | 8,995$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 8,669$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 1c | 8,460$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6026…f93abacked Yes | 0c | 8,396$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Yes | 2c | 7,338$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.88 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…f9c6backed Yes | 1c | 7,128$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a84…c23fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,777$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 1c | 6,672$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…dc15backed Yes | 4c | 6,338$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 0c | 6,077$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…5f66backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aee…0b32backed Yes | 0c | 5,236$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…44dabacked Yes | 1c | 5,120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b36…181cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…6e40backed Yes | 0c | 5,120$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2788…3c32backed Yes | 0c | 5,040$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52d…0cfcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 1c | 4,330$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 1c | 4,119$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…0773backed Yes | 0c | 4,034$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…1ae3backed Yes | 0c | 4,028$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f8…e102backed Yes | 0c | 4,028$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…e093backed Yes | 0c | 4,028$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…cc2dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,016$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…c231backed Yes | 0c | 4,016$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…169fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,016$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…f22fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,908$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…6c03backed Yes | 0c | 3,908$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c1…9140backed Yes | 0c | 3,908$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 3c | 3,841$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a83…a7d4backed Yes | 0c | 3,165$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Yes | 3c | 3,060$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…9803backed Yes | 2c | 2,734$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…8899backed Yes | 1c | 2,450$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…e273backed Yes | 2c | 2,365$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…a562backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -61%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae9…0710backed Yes | 2c | 1,986$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Yes | 3c | 1,921$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…34fdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,676$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…245dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,676$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb285…68d3backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…7023backed Yes | 1c | 1,666$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 1,640$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…070fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,549$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef90…2604backed Yes | 3c | 1,534$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed Yes | 6c | 1,512$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 3c | 1,449$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,414$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 3c | 1,320$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 5c | 1,252$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 1,238$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,196$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 1c | 1,121$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,108$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa3…e24abacked Yes | 4c | 1,051$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8661…0e14backed Yes | 3c | 1,021$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,015$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.