TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd493…7f04

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,245
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST2794.7%13 W · 266 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 279 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$61.3
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$87.47
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$137.36
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.94
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$113.96
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100.2
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$74.42
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$56.36
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$66.13
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$111.6
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+1,467.4%+$1,786.72
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.6
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$190.66
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$107.78
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$54.4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$42.45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33.02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.23
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.33
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35.91
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.79
Showing 25 of 279 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1463.4%5 W · 141 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.78
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.79
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120.78
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.71
Will Solana reach $200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$159.96
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.11
Will Solana reach $190 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.43
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.33
Will Solana reach $170 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.08
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.66
Will Solana reach $180 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.92
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$282.94
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.76
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Will Solana reach $210 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.58
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.83
Will Solana dip to $80 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Solana dip to $90 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.24
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,494.2%+$1,031
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1190.8%1 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-85.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.91
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.24
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.23
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.08
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.46
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.81
Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.43
Hyperlend FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.34
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.64
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.09
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61.45
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$95.26
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$147.82
Will Tria launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26.55
Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$36.51
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.62
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT934.3%4 W · 89 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.96
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.37
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.1
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.19
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+3,712.9%+$1,265.01
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.96
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.83
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$76.65
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$150.99
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50.05
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$130.68
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$167.54
Will Nuremberg win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.82
Will June Squibb be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Andrew Garfield be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.01
Will Weapons be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+900%+$90
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT870%0 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.86
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.63
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.73
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.66
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.3
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$143.26
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.6
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.53
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$74.22
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT836%5 W · 78 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.64
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,444.8%+$1,402.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+900%+$473.34
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+900%+$90
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$155.5
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$286.41
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$109.15
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$145.98
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$176.28
Iran strike on US military by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.25
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.1
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.63
Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.9
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.88
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$345.1
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.09
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT6311.1%7 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+117.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.08
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Yoon out of custody by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$338.07
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Honduras presidential election annulled by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.84
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$35.03
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$194.33
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+1,707.7%+$352.18
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$193.34
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,028.01
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$277.59
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%0 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.1
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.81
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.48
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.26
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.02
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.6
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.75
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$632.01
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.34
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.39
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$127.11
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.53
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.8
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
NATO downs another Russian drone by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.75
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.01
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT474.3%2 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.85
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$139.34
US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.09
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138.75
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.39
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.82
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$83.92
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$88.63
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.76
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.86
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$318.46
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+1,086.4%+$1,190.42
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+1,095.6%+$784
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.29
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT419.8%4 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick5cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+926.3%+$352.01
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.41
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.21
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.82
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.01
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+1,047.6%+$1,023.2
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.88
Bill Clinton charged by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.61
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$23.6
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,050.8%+$202.69
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.62
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$38.75
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$58.78
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+925.6%+$361
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.1
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.62
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.31
Trump-Epstein Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.47
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.6
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.77
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.54
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.89
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.18
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$212.24
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$397.94
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$68.65
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$710.92
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$327.58
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$558.17
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$781.55
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$463.49
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?backed US Strikes Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,777.9%+$282.98
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$51.02
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40.4
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST270%0 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$183.8
Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$80.11
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$61.56
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.61
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.6
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.96
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.64
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$380.36
Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$232.03
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$320.62
Will Mike McDaniel be the next Atlanta Falcons Head Coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.11
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$234.27
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$72.81
Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$44.9
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$43.76
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$99.7
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$103.87
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$47.64
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.59
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT263.8%1 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,786.8%+$947
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.51
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.29
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.85
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.49
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.38
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.42
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.67
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.98
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.85
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.22
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.79
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.15
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.36
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.13
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.96
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$77.45
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?backed Bitcoin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.18
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,724.4%+$726.42
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.51
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.09
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.33
Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.51
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.25
Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.16
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.92
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.78
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.2
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.65
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.49
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.54
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.51
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.94
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.27
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.17
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.2
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.58
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47.7
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$46.19
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$180
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.5
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.38
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.15
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.01
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.9
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$193.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+900%+$90
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$172.98
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.32
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.06
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.92
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$80.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick9cpaid+134.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$154.27
Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
All 9 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.39
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.19
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lorient be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.