World Politics · resolved market
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238a958420eb246a32602eeeb1a88e55d53d30625c3870bf1af542f6f3618eb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $484,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 1c | 42,068$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.38 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…54afbacked Yes | 2c | 20,883$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.34 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 2c | 14,791$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.31 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b232backed Yes | 1c | 13,776$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…b707backed Yes | 2c | 11,186$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.73 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 10,436$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 1c | 9,147$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.41 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 2c | 8,970$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…b18bbacked Yes | 3c | 8,009$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 7,762$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda2a…d889backed Yes | 2c | 7,398$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…fbfabacked Yes | 2c | 7,255$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…756ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,790$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,836$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…fc9cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,322$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 5,309$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…bc8fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…db7cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,045$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 4,967$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…fbbfbacked Yes | 3c | 4,134$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 4,089$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,964$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 3,915$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 2c | 3,508$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 3,369$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…6eb7backed Yes | 1c | 3,257$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…8999backed Yes | 2c | 3,243$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…26b5backed Yes | 7c | 3,033$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 2c | 3,028$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,993$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,976$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…43a0backed Yes | 4c | 2,763$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…aa75backed Yes | 2c | 2,730$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ef…ade6backed Yes | 0c | 2,520$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 2c | 2,380$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 2,355$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,336$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,182$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…7304backed Yes | 2c | 2,003$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a7a2backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…8f08backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +1,289.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…f383backed Yes | 1c | 1,956$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 2c | 1,925$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…2d8fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,922$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8646…ed78backed Yes | 1c | 1,827$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…0a4abacked Yes | 6c | 1,762$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…eff8backed Yes | 1c | 1,737$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed Yes | 1c | 1,737$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…7508backed Yes | 8c | 1,602$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,517$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…3ebcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,474$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…65c8backed Yes | 4c | 1,421$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,403$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…a12abacked Yes | 2c | 1,389$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 1c | 1,382$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3d…5744backed Yes | 2c | 1,252$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…7fdbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,229$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cde…f6c6backed Yes | 2c | 1,212$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…6646backed Yes | 2c | 1,183$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 1,173$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,154$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -92%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…516fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,141$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,124$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…5715backed Yes | 2c | 1,123$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 3c | 1,059$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 4c | 1,048$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46da…b655backed Yes | 4c | 1,025$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,008$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0109…e67ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 1c | 999.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 1c | 986.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a13…f484backed Yes | 2c | 945.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Yes | 5c | 919.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 899.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…b168backed Yes | 2c | 892.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 890.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…bba3backed Yes | 2c | 858.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 2c | 853.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 850$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +72%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 832.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes | 2c | 802.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…f015backed Yes | 2c | 789.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 3c | 760.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 3c | 753.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 743.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…334dbacked Yes | 3c | 726.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…75ffbacked Yes | 1c | 711.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…1f8ebacked Yes | 5c | 687.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…ee29backed Yes | 2c | 642$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 3c | 597.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…2308backed Yes | 3c | 575.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 5c | 525$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…a6b7backed Yes | 3c | 510.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…472bbacked Yes | 2c | 508.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…477cbacked Yes | 2c | 506.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…112fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…493ebacked Yes | 2c | 493.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 486.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 6c | 454.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?this page
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?Yes won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.