TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8538…ee29

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.93
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+43.3%+$72.83
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$80.23
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$44.72
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$87.88
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$114.04
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+488.2%+$389.27
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$69.52
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+197.5%+$27.22
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.7%+$23.88
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$31.62
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+248.8%+$42.8
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+28.1%+$14.46
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+54.2%+$10.19
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.31
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.5%+$19.3
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.3
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.14
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+49.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.84
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+82.5%+$67.8
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$31.5
Will Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+79.2%+$44.2
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+50.7%+$111.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$28.6
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+270.4%+$538.74
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+25.9%+$10.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-69.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+64%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+186.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Leipzig: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Aurora Zantedeschibacked Aurora Zantedeschi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$63.71
Istanbul 2: Vendula Valdmannova vs Aliona Faleibacked Aliona Falei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.48
Istanbul 2: Anastasia Zakharova vs Alexandra Shubladzebacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$476.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+153.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+248.6%+$124.09
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+57.9%+$59.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,657Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$1,148.69
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+79.5%+$51.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+34.1%+$25.45
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25.2%+$20.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$37.34
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VEO 4 released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+27.8%+$97.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.