Fifa International · resolved market
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48e6e5108d0d878a02c2d79164fa1063792179b97dfe740b43cb6ebb803e0f7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,348,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,979,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,348,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 983,812$38,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,314.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…9535backed Yes | 0c | 481,690$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 252,684$7,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,861.39 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 14c | 222,451$31,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,940.09 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a394backed Yes | 0c | 204,310$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 0c | 189,848$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.39 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 8c | 123,175$9,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,854 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…d283backed Yes | 0c | 100,022$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dac…475dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…369bbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…c4f4backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…00abbacked Yes | 0c | 90,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 0c | 85,367$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…149abacked Yes | 0c | 85,079$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 3c | 81,941$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.26 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 8c | 73,700$6,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.1 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 72,122$6,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,071.14 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 8c | 64,166$5,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,218.12 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…534dbacked Yes | 8c | 63,765$5,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,048.01 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 0c | 62,752$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.85 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…f3e8backed Yes | 0c | 51,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…b771backed Yes | 8c | 50,457$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.59 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…d232backed Yes | 0c | 50,154$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 160 | 13.8%22 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…54bdbacked Yes | 0c | 47,220$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…d506backed Yes | 0c | 46,080$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 42,992$6,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,645.05 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa91f…5ffebacked Yes | 0c | 40,194$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bf…3a4dbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Yes | 8c | 37,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…01b6backed Yes | 0c | 36,070$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 4c | 34,661$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.82 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…10fdbacked Yes | 0c | 34,050$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…cab1backed Yes | 0c | 33,630$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 8c | 32,400$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 8c | 31,587$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.94 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…e43cbacked Yes | 0c | 31,217$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…96c8backed Yes | 0c | 31,150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291a…6f9ebacked Yes | 0c | 30,444$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes | 6c | 30,357$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…2bc4backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 22c | 29,542$6,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,598.44 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100d…54f1backed Yes | 0c | 28,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 28c | 27,681$7,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,766.91 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…6304backed Yes | 0c | 26,933$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 0c | 26,472$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0430…bb31backed Yes | 0c | 26,075$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…84fcbacked Yes | 0c | 25,230$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 0c | 24,990$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Yes | 28c | 24,041$6,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,731.48 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Yes | 8c | 24,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84e3…0983backed Yes | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 0c | 23,381$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d00…52f2backed Yes | 9c | 23,167$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 9c | 20,587$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.34 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3949…77bebacked Yes | 0c | 20,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…cab2backed Yes | 0c | 20,109$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388c…526fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x233e…34febacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…0c03backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…92f3backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db8…22a5backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…c0e6backed Yes | 0c | 19,725$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 8c | 19,463$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.02 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fa…de39backed Yes | 7c | 18,971$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…6b12backed Yes | 8c | 18,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fc…821dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,872$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…f949backed Yes | 0c | 17,390$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523f…7ec7backed Yes | 0c | 16,910$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 2c | 16,739$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.33 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 0c | 16,667$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cb…ba75backed Yes | 0c | 16,470$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…3d26backed Yes | 12c | 15,589$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…0014backed Yes | 0c | 15,429$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…71d3backed Yes | 0c | 15,357$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…4ccfbacked Yes | 0c | 15,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…81ebbacked Yes | 0c | 15,122$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…a9dcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…9ca2backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b4f2backed Yes | 0c | 14,631$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…b79dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…38b3backed Yes | 28c | 14,465$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes | 7c | 14,255$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…0291backed Yes | 0c | 13,580$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 9c | 13,117$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.98 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 8c | 13,043$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.5 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb2…f4babacked Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e1…15aebacked Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 71c | 12,882$9,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.25 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 8c | 11,900$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…1fe2backed Yes | 0c | 11,690$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 5c | 11,686$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.45 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 9c | 11,529$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.6 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…0b79backed Yes | 0c | 11,430$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Yes | 8c | 11,375$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…b115backed Yes | 8c | 11,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 102 | 24.5%25 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…6f58backed Yes | 9c | 11,217$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.49 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes | 9c | 11,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?this page
- Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.