TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,348,266
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,979,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,348,266 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c983,812$38,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,314.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…9535backed Yes0c481,690$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.6920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes3c252,684$7,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,861.3979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes14c222,451$31,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,940.0914542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…a394backed Yes0c204,310$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007660.5%46 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes0c189,848$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.3978835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes8c123,175$9,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,85432031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d283backed Yes0c100,022$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dac…475dbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…369bbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1c…c4f4backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick20cpaid+135.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbe0…00abbacked Yes0c90,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fca…dde6backed Yes0c85,367$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.011326.8%9 W · 123 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe763…149abacked Yes0c85,079$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1078946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes3c81,941$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.2665835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes8c73,700$6,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,239.12,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes8c72,122$6,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,071.142,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes8c64,166$5,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,218.121,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde3…534dbacked Yes8c63,765$5,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,048.01220%0 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes0c62,752$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8545424.7%112 W · 342 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c7…f3e8backed Yes0c51,000$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513129%9 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes8c50,457$4,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,278.595930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5718…d232backed Yes0c50,154$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9016013.8%22 W · 138 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cc…54bdbacked Yes0c47,220$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b99…d506backed Yes0c46,080$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes15c42,992$6,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,645.054,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa91f…5ffebacked Yes0c40,194$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35bf…3a4dbacked Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes8c37,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d5…01b6backed Yes0c36,070$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534020%8 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes4c34,661$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.8226320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x052e…10fdbacked Yes0c34,050$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.051625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x788d…cab1backed Yes0c33,630$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.634930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes8c32,400$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,59229740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes8c31,587$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.941,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695b…e43cbacked Yes0c31,217$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407251.4%37 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0385…96c8backed Yes0c31,150$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208837.5%33 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x291a…6f9ebacked Yes0c30,444$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes6c30,357$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80520839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83f2…2bc4backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-61.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes22c29,542$6,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,598.4415337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x100d…54f1backed Yes0c28,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes28c27,681$7,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,766.9177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc8…6304backed Yes0c26,933$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes0c26,472$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0430…bb31backed Yes0c26,075$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321625%4 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe761…84fcbacked Yes0c25,230$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes0c24,990$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Yes28c24,041$6,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,731.4817550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Yes8c24,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92020333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84e3…0983backed Yes0c24,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243250%16 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes0c23,381$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.31,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d00…52f2backed Yes9c23,167$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.041233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes9c20,587$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.3431945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3949…77bebacked Yes0c20,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3e…cab2backed Yes0c20,109$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.881030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid-12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x388c…526fbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206246.8%29 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x233e…34febacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9968…0c03backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f6…92f3backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db8…22a5backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…c0e6backed Yes0c19,725$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3512615.1%19 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes8c19,463$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.021,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2fa…de39backed Yes7c18,971$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x851a…6b12backed Yes8c18,750$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fc…821dbacked Yes0c17,872$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.75219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc908…f949backed Yes0c17,390$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.39120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x523f…7ec7backed Yes0c16,910$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes2c16,739$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3373626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf045…c619backed Yes0c16,667$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cb…ba75backed Yes0c16,470$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.47812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0f…3d26backed Yes12c15,589$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa969…0014backed Yes0c15,429$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6989…71d3backed Yes0c15,357$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405726.3%15 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b37…4ccfbacked Yes0c15,250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5efe…81ebbacked Yes0c15,122$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264214.3%6 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…a9dcbacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4b6…a582backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158461.9%52 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f64…9ca2backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…b4f2backed Yes0c14,631$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbef6…b79dbacked Yes0c14,600$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x200e…38b3backed Yes28c14,465$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.252437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes7c14,255$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005123.5%12 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0b…0291backed Yes0c13,580$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-62.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes9c13,117$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.981,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes8c13,043$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.516244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb2…f4babacked Yes0c13,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93e1…15aebacked Yes0c13,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No71c12,882$9,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,680.2531945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes8c11,900$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9521,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ce…1fe2backed Yes0c11,690$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes5c11,686$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.4525821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes9c11,529$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.61,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006d…0b79backed Yes0c11,430$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327723.4%18 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Yes8c11,375$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91019250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes8c11,250$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Yes9c11,217$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.495545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.