TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,012,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,118,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,012,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 7,779 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes21c1,718,650$353,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,844.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No27c1,342,789$359,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983,663.9133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No28c941,794$264,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677,417.235942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd96…a4d5backed Yes0c783,488$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.83922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-65.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No27c766,101$206,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559,400.2914139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed No27c700,000$189,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,0004753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes73c678,932$495,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495,620.643441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes64c651,294$419,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419,790.262,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No27c535,157$145,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390,111.0656541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c512,746$245,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245,702.934,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc733…3805backed Yes0c483,180$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.18170%0 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes14c422,559$57,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,499.6879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Yes73c405,541$296,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296,1002864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Yes0c400,417$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007660.5%46 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes73c400,000$292,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292,0009142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Yes73c394,814$288,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288,214.43345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No43c384,280$166,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217,833.1474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No26c299,997$77,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,998.1310740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No27c299,994$79,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219,995.97941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3e…cab2backed Yes0c225,261$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.51030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid-12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No56c223,596$124,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,708.3847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6100…0b49backed Yes0c212,160$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.661822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Yes73c211,989$154,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154,751.894178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d4f…e5f3backed Yes73c207,442$152,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,061.11952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Yes74c205,796$152,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,289.251560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2c…a414backed Yes0c191,206$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.39728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No55c187,546$103,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,102.5377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes73c176,713$128,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,666.917452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Yes39c176,009$68,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,642.762729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No28c173,178$48,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,482.832,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b6…153bbacked Yes74c158,694$117,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117,433.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes24c153,127$37,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,235.293,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x788d…cab1backed Yes0c150,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9eb…bdc3backed Yes74c133,760$98,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,982.44742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…6edbbacked Yes0c130,491$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes9c127,370$11,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,859.2938333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No28c124,586$35,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,463.166645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574c…d511backed Yes0c120,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5718…d232backed Yes0c120,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016013.8%22 W · 138 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No30c117,998$35,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,218.829943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54fa…cbfdbacked Yes0c111,585$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.741968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No27c110,158$29,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,415.4314349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes63c109,845$68,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,755.1124441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…3682backed Yes0c100,821$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004119.5%8 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes39c100,668$39,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,642.9915844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d283backed Yes0c100,052$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d3…ce74backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…b042backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…92b4backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes74c100,000$74,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes35c97,773$34,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,677.3831945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes25c91,522$23,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,254.0665835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe763…149abacked Yes0c85,077$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1158946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82da…af6fbacked Yes0c82,779$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No50c80,973$40,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,814.1542541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes0c75,770$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.543324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x052e…10fdbacked Yes0c75,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes2c74,900$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.8545424.7%112 W · 342 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes74c73,938$54,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,714.2915337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…ca76backed Yes73c71,462$52,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,052.431861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6989…71d3backed Yes0c65,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655726.3%15 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9159…4dbbbacked Yes74c64,811$47,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,960.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes3c64,081$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.0577433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No26c61,377$15,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,406.5216835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes72c60,644$43,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,409.162,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes73c60,269$43,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,799.821,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No29c59,390$16,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,422.1111642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a5…930bbacked Yes0c58,893$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.151822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa91f…5ffebacked Yes0c57,939$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes41c55,026$22,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,589.481,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked No27c54,693$14,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,925.882941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes0c53,700$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No27c52,754$14,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,490.677843.6%34 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes74c52,243$38,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,57033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No28c52,139$14,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,539.831,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c7…f3e8backed Yes0c52,078$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.963129%9 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed Yes72c51,308$37,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,075.715967.8%40 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b99…d506backed Yes0c51,131$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…82bbbacked Yes1c50,811$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0385…96c8backed Yes0c50,250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708837.5%33 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc1d…5d8bbacked Yes0c50,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Yes73c50,081$36,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,560.259131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ab8…c5c3backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03d7…ed1ebacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes40c49,390$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fca…dde6backed Yes0c47,160$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551326.8%9 W · 123 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a5c…384abacked Yes0c47,000$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0648…dfd0backed Yes0c46,915$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Yes73c45,000$32,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,849.989451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No27c45,000$12,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,849.9310056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No69c43,507$29,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,544.1210550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b76…0c37backed No28c43,500$12,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,3201717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8b…f218backed Yes0c43,169$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad84…dcf1backed No27c41,643$11,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,399.393930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No52c41,521$21,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,750.5725844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x291a…6f9ebacked Yes1c40,513$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes32c40,402$12,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,927.1633337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb754…96dfbacked No61c40,398$24,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,755.231040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes37c40,261$15,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,023.9542043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd10…621abacked Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.