Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdac6e67bfc09e630711ceb1be0be8f19c472344ca4353b608cc3b9282e61ec95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,012,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,118,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,012,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 7,779 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 1,718,650$353,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353,844.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 27c | 1,342,789$359,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983,663.91 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 28c | 941,794$264,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677,417.23 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…a4d5backed Yes | 0c | 783,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 27c | 766,101$206,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559,400.29 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…9458backed No | 27c | 700,000$189,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511,000 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 73c | 678,932$495,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495,620.64 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 64c | 651,294$419,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419,790.26 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 27c | 535,157$145,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390,111.06 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 512,746$245,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245,702.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc733…3805backed Yes | 0c | 483,180$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.18 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 14c | 422,559$57,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,499.68 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Yes | 73c | 405,541$296,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296,100 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Yes | 0c | 400,417$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 73c | 400,000$292,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292,000 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Yes | 73c | 394,814$288,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288,214.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 43c | 384,280$166,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217,833.14 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 26c | 299,997$77,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221,998.13 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 27c | 299,994$79,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219,995.9 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…cab2backed Yes | 0c | 225,261$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 56c | 223,596$124,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,708.38 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…0b49backed Yes | 0c | 212,160$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Yes | 73c | 211,989$154,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154,751.89 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Yes | 73c | 207,442$152,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,061.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked Yes | 74c | 205,796$152,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,289.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…a414backed Yes | 0c | 191,206$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 55c | 187,546$103,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,102.53 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 73c | 176,713$128,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,666.9 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Yes | 39c | 176,009$68,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,642.76 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 28c | 173,178$48,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,482.83 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…153bbacked Yes | 74c | 158,694$117,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,433.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 153,127$37,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,235.29 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…cab1backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…bdc3backed Yes | 74c | 133,760$98,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,982.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…6edbbacked Yes | 0c | 130,491$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Yes | 9c | 127,370$11,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,859.29 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 28c | 124,586$35,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,463.16 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574c…d511backed Yes | 0c | 120,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…d232backed Yes | 0c | 120,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 160 | 13.8%22 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 30c | 117,998$35,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,218.82 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…cbfdbacked Yes | 0c | 111,585$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 27c | 110,158$29,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,415.43 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 63c | 109,845$68,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,755.11 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…3682backed Yes | 0c | 100,821$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 39c | 100,668$39,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,642.99 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…d283backed Yes | 0c | 100,052$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…ce74backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…b042backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…92b4backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 74c | 100,000$74,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 35c | 97,773$34,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,677.38 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 25c | 91,522$23,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,254.06 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…149abacked Yes | 0c | 85,077$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…af6fbacked Yes | 0c | 82,779$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 80,973$40,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,814.15 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 0c | 75,770$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…10fdbacked Yes | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 2c | 74,900$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.85 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 74c | 73,938$54,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,714.29 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…ca76backed Yes | 73c | 71,462$52,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,052.43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…71d3backed Yes | 0c | 65,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…4dbbbacked Yes | 74c | 64,811$47,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,960.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 3c | 64,081$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.05 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 26c | 61,377$15,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,406.52 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 72c | 60,644$43,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,409.16 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 73c | 60,269$43,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,799.82 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 29c | 59,390$16,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,422.11 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…930bbacked Yes | 0c | 58,893$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa91f…5ffebacked Yes | 0c | 57,939$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 41c | 55,026$22,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,589.48 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 27c | 54,693$14,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,925.88 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 0c | 53,700$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 27c | 52,754$14,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,490.67 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 74c | 52,243$38,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,570 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 28c | 52,139$14,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,539.83 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…f3e8backed Yes | 0c | 52,078$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed Yes | 72c | 51,308$37,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,075.71 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…d506backed Yes | 0c | 51,131$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…82bbbacked Yes | 1c | 50,811$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…96c8backed Yes | 0c | 50,250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…5d8bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Yes | 73c | 50,081$36,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,560.25 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…c5c3backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…ed1ebacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 40c | 49,390$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 0c | 47,160$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5c…384abacked Yes | 0c | 47,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0648…dfd0backed Yes | 0c | 46,915$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Yes | 73c | 45,000$32,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,849.98 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 27c | 45,000$12,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,849.93 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 69c | 43,507$29,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,544.12 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b76…0c37backed No | 28c | 43,500$12,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,320 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…f218backed Yes | 0c | 43,169$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…dcf1backed No | 27c | 41,643$11,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,399.39 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 52c | 41,521$21,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,750.57 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291a…6f9ebacked Yes | 1c | 40,513$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 32c | 40,402$12,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,927.16 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…96dfbacked No | 61c | 40,398$24,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,755.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 37c | 40,261$15,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,023.95 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…621abacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?this page
- Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.