TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf031…c80c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
513
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT33538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 335 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$216,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$216,258.91
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$296,633Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+246.6%+$731,485.78
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$313.38
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,461.03
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,182.7
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,284Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+852.4%+$19,470.77
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$193,781Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+228.2%+$442,249.01
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$416,745Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+74%+$308,412.1
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$943,841Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$349,091.81
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131,624Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$93,374.61
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$207,402Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+335.1%+$695,082.23
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$655,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$718,577.38
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$41,999.79
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$430,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$430,047
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.9
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96,749Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+55%+$53,249.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$214,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$214,998.99
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$937.13
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$350.05
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$453,799Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$672,389.99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+239.1%+$42,056.18
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,509.65
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,920.63
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,137.08
Showing 25 of 335 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,744Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+458.8%+$8,001.95
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$112,636Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$95,949.53
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,726Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,894.18
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$142,500
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114,999.93
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.26
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64,829.97
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,446.02
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$621.17
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15,395.51
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$269,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$269,118.14
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,768Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,994.04
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$191,250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$183,750
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$85,053.59
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$91,062.63
76ers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$9,356.96
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$49,499.82
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53,127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+103.4%+$54,950.06
Spread: Suns (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37,807Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+87.8%+$33,206.3
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,288.84
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19,803.3
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$4,770
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18,900
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$107,099.94
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21,887.42
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16,844Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$27,482.32
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$165,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$165,060.42
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65,447Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$86,755.88
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,994.28
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21,832Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$34,147.15
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,620.04
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,150.51
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$103,240.72
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,140.51
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$9,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,923.28
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,155.58
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,457Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$9,470.28
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,350.79
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17,791Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23,583.97
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,721.25
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,481.84
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$105,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$105,819.49
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,691.4
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$342,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$407,699.89
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28,837Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35,245.08
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.57
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16,913Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$28,797.7
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,994Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11,071.09
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$4,195.68
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,766.04
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,459.58
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63,301
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$9,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,892.92
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,048.89
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,222.72
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,867.16
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,676Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$2,345.65
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$6,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,948.22
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,025Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$1,500.44
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.52
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,589Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$4,780.54
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,982.46
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$734.55
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$535,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$534,999.99
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.49
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50,522Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$72,702.24
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$118,641Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$50,845.95
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,593.48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42,544Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$115,025.62
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.81
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19,513Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$19,512.87
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35,376Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24,582.99
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51,951Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$96,479.91
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,352.07
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,520.58
CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.55
CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,097.91
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,814.12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$103,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$103,917.32
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$8,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,288.02
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,105.39
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72,963.5
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51,083Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$33,296.3
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.06
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40,227Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34,267.19
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,453.49
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.21
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,864Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$689.6
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$254,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$254,485.49
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,521.56
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$205,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$205,095.87
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,057.98
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+66.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$785
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.89
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$295,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$295,016.66
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$687.12
Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$5,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,730.01
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$68.63
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$484,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$484,297.2
Will Gillian Robertson win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.32
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$350,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$350,082.11
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chidi Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41,018Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$129,891.6
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Donte Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18,916Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6,305.34
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Neil Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86,449Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$119,382.1
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jeremiah Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,367Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$35,336.11
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$899,342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40%+$359,455.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,037.66
Exact Score: KF Víkingur 0 - 1 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.89
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.09
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53,511.8
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$841.81
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,447.87
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,566.3
Will Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.95
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.85
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52,376Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$39,511.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.