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La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd202…8973backed Over48c29,556$14,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,186.862548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under70c20,548$14,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,078.0567839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c6,844$3,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,695.651,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under76c6,063$4,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.41,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c5,881$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.6617039.4%67 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over54c5,419$2,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.2614539.3%57 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c5,354$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.693,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over35c4,838$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.1792443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Under52c4,615$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over54c4,479$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.5433531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over53c4,340$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.220553.2%109 W · 96 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c3,927$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.476051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under58c3,873$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.7711041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca7…39dbbacked Under62c3,216$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ab6…fad4backed Under47c3,080$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303040%12 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed Under73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over54c2,787$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017830.9%55 W · 123 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over13c2,472$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.421127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c2,234$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.8174350.2%373 W · 370 L+18.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0603240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under46c1,880$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.61,10448.5%535 W · 569 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over53c1,834$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.973522.9%8 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under72c1,667$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6723453%124 W · 110 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over22c1,600$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3527041.4%29 W · 41 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under73c1,579$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under41c1,556$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.0410443.3%45 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c1,446$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.6332635.3%115 W · 211 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over1c1,327$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2711539.1%45 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over29c1,282$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.011,46645%659 W · 807 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Under52c1,136$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over2c1,104$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.764445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over34c1,100$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3742913.8%4 W · 25 L-7.3wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-64.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c1,071$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.721,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c976.14$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.3372455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2114…c1bbbacked Under78c961.54$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3be2…91a0backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Over53c933$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.494060%24 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Under55c834.36$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.343432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under47c809.2$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.8719847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06a…101dbacked Over31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over29c701.45$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7748338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c683.09$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.0424639%96 W · 150 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over53c639$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.6720942.6%89 W · 120 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c518.46$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.2956538.1%215 W · 350 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over23c483.57$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8951048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over7c455.32$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3889139.8%355 W · 536 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.783053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x242f…6fa9backed Under48c428.81$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over49c409$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.41137.7%1 W · 12 L-5.2wins-0.40per pick48cpaid-84%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over30c403.33$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21210666%70 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1928045%36 W · 44 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c379.97$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3943458.5%254 W · 180 L+32.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Over52c373.23$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd00c…8154backed Over54c348.15$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18840%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under52c339.1$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.771050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c312.42$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.712,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1597650%38 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Over52c299.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Under52c284.82$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under47c277.21$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.921764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under49c251.15$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.15875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over9c217.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4420446.1%94 W · 110 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over6c210.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.764843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb74f…acbbbacked Over58c206.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10812562.4%78 W · 47 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Over8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under43c199.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.992138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under52c194.73$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.845438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under63c188.73$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1338144.9%171 W · 210 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…c159backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef98…115cbacked Under47c155$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b9…7e45backed Under77c149.35$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.35875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.211037.3%41 W · 69 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over45c130$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.91435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under55c123.43$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.44858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over16c118.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4112446%57 W · 67 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over27c110$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.734949.6%173 W · 176 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over21c107.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9111845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4821244.8%95 W · 117 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5315644.9%70 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5318142.5%77 W · 104 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e49…e7debacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under50c91.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.852445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb18…6f32backed Over53c87.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over15c82.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.796939.1%27 W · 42 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under66c71.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.242548%12 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over21c61.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0138947.8%186 W · 203 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over53c49.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4912846.1%59 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over23c49.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.336445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under51c49.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.292744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd010…2ee6backed Under48c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.962665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.