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La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4155…fa41backed Yes77c19,961$15,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,405.617276.4%55 W · 17 L+13.0wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+38.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No35c8,614$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.37850%4 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+83.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No62c6,222$3,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.151,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes59c4,843$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.3714539.3%57 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No44c4,068$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.014445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a75…258abacked No15c3,875$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275475%3 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick21cpaid+251.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No52c3,460$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.0411041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No32c3,187$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.9289139.8%355 W · 536 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed No56c2,900$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.710443.3%45 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x829e…339cbacked No15c2,667$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick13cpaid+400%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd4d…3ac6backed No15c2,667$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick14cpaid+400%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes54c2,590$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.1648338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b3…b35cbacked No15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick13cpaid+400%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x693a…1417backed No15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7002100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.87per pick14cpaid+650%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6570…5d38backed No15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a42…984abacked No16c1,875$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick20cpaid+227.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No41c1,743$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.426051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No41c1,219$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.2122744.5%101 W · 126 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No41c1,134$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.2780950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes56c1,100$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61638129.1%111 W · 270 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes40c1,067$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.634434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes58c1,036$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.7110661.3%65 W · 41 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes38c1,006$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37964732.3%209 W · 438 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c964.97$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.51,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes49c900$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43817244.8%77 W · 95 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No42c797.62$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.6210666%70 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No42c797.19$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.7872455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes58c761.87$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.8813144.3%58 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No41c758.61$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.8419847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No41c741.41$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.4374949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes45c686.09$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.996445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No35c626.8$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.366139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes40c574.06$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7532635.3%115 W · 211 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes58c566.67$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.8612446%57 W · 67 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No50c561.17$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.661,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Yes59c413.12$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked No15c396.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick15cpaid+400%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed No74c364$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.645151%26 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb283…4501backed No42c360.24$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd00c…8154backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0972…f1c4backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed Yes44c316.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes59c306.27$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.74261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Yes66c302.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1777650%38 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4208…a0c2backed Yes70c299$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.96944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No56c295$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8338144.9%171 W · 210 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No42c281.17$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2474350.2%373 W · 370 L+18.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Yes52c280.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.68850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No35c278.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7115542.6%66 W · 89 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc7…443fbacked Yes59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.51450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes57c246.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8611845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x110c…a086backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No41c206.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.11,65851.7%858 W · 800 L-6.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfede…9c4abacked Yes57c172.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked No30c160$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.44134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes58c154$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908541.2%35 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes57c150$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2515450.6%78 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked No41c121.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.993432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd010…2ee6backed No42c117$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.862665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes59c114.51$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5633531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes53c109.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.962154.4%338 W · 283 L+28.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No37c108.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.44250%21 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…74d2backed Yes33c107.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9527…888bbacked No70c104.56$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a14…be99backed Yes39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5818142.5%77 W · 104 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x747d…73b7backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes54c95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.313150.4%66 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.543458.5%254 W · 180 L+32.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709b…ae96backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No34c81.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3751048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No41c74.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.244047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No36c72.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.446939.1%27 W · 42 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x050a…49e4backed Yes59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+49.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No41c66.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.042,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes30c58.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.523852.5%125 W · 113 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Yes62c53.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No72c51.93$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.724858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3324…3b4cbacked Yes31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55044%22 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae19…9d13backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes58c49.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9912846.1%59 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No35c48.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581,67443.9%735 W · 939 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a59…6961backed Yes45c46.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d43…b695backed No62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.321080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No49c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.66950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes71c38.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8d…506cbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe4…4ab1backed No42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes58c35.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.518949.4%44 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes59c34.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4656538.1%215 W · 350 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481a…68a9backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked No42c32.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.691323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-55.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No42c30.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5795054.2%515 W · 435 L+1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.