TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc357…3684

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: WNBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT7546.7%35 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.37
US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$58.2
ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Natsumi Kawaguchi vs Priska Nugrohobacked Priska Nugroho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$109.31
ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Haruka Kaji vs Amandine Hessebacked Amandine Hesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Set Handicap: Safiullin (-1.5) vs Grenier (+1.5)backed Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Winston-Salem Open: Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenierbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$233
Set Handicap: Svrcina (-1.5) vs Alves (+1.5)backed Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$30.22
Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Augsburg: Federico Iannaccone vs Oleksii Krutykhbacked Oleksii Krutykh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18
ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men: Matis Roche vs Octave Pujobacked Matis Roche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$131.08
Augsburg: Dominik Recek vs Benito Sanchez Martinezbacked Benito Sanchez Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$147.04
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+198.6%+$766.67
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$855.24
Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.65
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Belluccibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$264.45
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Quinn Vandecasteelebacked Quinn Vandecasteele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Augsburg: Mika Petkovic vs Federico Iannacconebacked Federico Iannaccone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$45.96
ITF W15 Wanfercée-Baulet Women: Rikke De Koning vs Lisa Claeysbacked Rikke De Koning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.72
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$67.14
Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+194.9%+$94.56
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Clement Chidekhbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$478.92
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$805.34
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.65
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+66.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.65
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$74.35
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$65
1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$47.61
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+660.4%+$196.55
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+233.3%+$35
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$67.13
NBA Finals G2: Will Haliburton score 17+ points against the Thunder? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$51.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.47
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+207.6%+$41.52
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$54.98
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$94.09
Nigeria vs. Mozambique: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$40.24
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$303
Will Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$77.88
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$47.45
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$39.66
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.17
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,084.78
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+35%+$127.28
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$136.49
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana Fever (-4.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$709.72
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$321.43
Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$164.11
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirebacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$502.19
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+76%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,198
FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+113.2%+$90.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC København (-2.5)backed FC København · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: FC København (-1.5)backed FC København · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$106.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$71.77
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+163.2%+$482.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$133.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$54.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran President Raisi be found today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$69.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+27.5%+$33.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn Quakers vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.