TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$290,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$386,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under68c86,813$59,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,7642065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over33c49,999$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,499.673441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c45,830$32,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,698.664,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over32c42,260$13,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,523.361225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Over17c14,681$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c12,762$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,108.43,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under67c7,211$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.9321444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under63c5,117$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.5819038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under66c5,022$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.86580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6005349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over31c4,490$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.6828754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Over33c3,999$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over31c3,326$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.895832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over31c2,738$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.9576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over37c2,719$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Over33c1,805$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.169334.4%32 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under66c1,562$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.9332031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over36c1,533$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5553818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over32c1,491$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.8817048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over40c1,242$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…892cbacked Under67c1,212$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over34c1,029$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.942748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fd…ac2fbacked Over34c767.65$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under67c700.03$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.0229343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under66c685.49$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.792445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over34c650$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Over36c605.56$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2182532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under67c532.64$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.214264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Under78c477$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.713262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under64c464.71$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.818960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under62c447.38$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under64c444$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8431851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Under70c405.92$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over31c403$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9359752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12811646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Over35c339.59$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.355334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under70c302.7$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9967354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over36c289.19$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.652147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+182.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee54…5665backed Under63c245.49$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.93862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over24c244.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.951,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over34c225$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.56051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over32c210$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.246453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over32c210$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.239749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over32c210$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.212350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Under67c208.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.961764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed Over27c203.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.981030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Over34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a69…7b8fbacked Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6060%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6442352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked Over39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Over39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757247.2%34 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over33c185$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9316831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over33c178.22$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-81.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over32c165$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.812147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over32c165$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.813050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under73c158.3$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.742770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed Under72c151.88$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.471560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812945%58 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1600…9236backed Over34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2513544.4%60 W · 75 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5618…be67backed Over34c144.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under66c143$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.621080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…f5efbacked Over35c133.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.740%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over30c133.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.56973.9%51 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Under62c130$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.45225%13 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe970…8168backed Over38c129.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over35c128.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under74c123.48$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6311552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Over34c114.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under70c112.59$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.893050%15 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under67c107.06$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.135032%16 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbecc…6e99backed Over34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210452.9%55 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2658…dfc7backed Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210944%48 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over32c95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.44341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ff…89c2backed Over34c93.12$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Under63c92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over32c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over32c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.83141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over32c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.835848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over29c86.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257230.6%22 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over32c85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.26051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over32c85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.27450%37 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over32c85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.26850%34 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over32c85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.26852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over32c85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.26349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over32c85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.27552%39 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.