TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x710c…892c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbertbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$141.5
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$944Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+32.5%+$306.49
Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$784.81
ASB Classic: Eliot Spizzirri vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Hobart International: Iva Jovic vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$87.49
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$195
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)backed Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$530
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublikbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$809.67
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$550
ASB Classic, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Hugo Gastonbacked Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$489.99
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$351
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
ASB Classic, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+127.3%+$841.08
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Michael Mmohbacked Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$820
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.5%+$423.38
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Brisbane International: Sebastian Korda vs Alex Michelsenbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,799.16
Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,575.44
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,790.86
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,806Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,601.99
Spread: Vikings (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+56.2%+$540
Spread: Bengals (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$815
Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,470
Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$765
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,616.23
Dolphins vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+114.1%+$2,282.52
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$366.23
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,756
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$610
Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,636.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+64.1%+$998.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,060
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.