Fifa International · resolved market
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7ae02e4ec72fc1c79039d1782dc343f1f768351aa394da465b4dd18e646d421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $724,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $929,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $724,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 516 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 122,808$60,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,565.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…b76dbacked Yes | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,999.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 36,408$14,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,563.22 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 31,031$15,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,866.27 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 30,749$17,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,945.75 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 26,050$10,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,518.61 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 53c | 25,277$13,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,385.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 21,164$12,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,553.86 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 40c | 18,400$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,040.15 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 61c | 17,667$10,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,728.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 48c | 17,071$8,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,896.56 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 40c | 13,478$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,093.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 2c | 12,908$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 41c | 12,516$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.92 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 12,131$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.62 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 59c | 9,000$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,309.95 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 8,385$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.94 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 51c | 7,323$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 58c | 7,102$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.15 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…12a6backed Yes | 40c | 6,880$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 41c | 6,459$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.47 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 1c | 6,098$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 48c | 5,224$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.15 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 59c | 5,199$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.6 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 39c | 5,186$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.01 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.21 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 4,685$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.66 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 52c | 4,380$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 40c | 4,357$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 50c | 4,039$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 61c | 3,916$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.03 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 3,810$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.43 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 57c | 3,528$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.56 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 59c | 3,504$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.18 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…2945backed Yes | 44c | 3,300$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 24c | 3,187$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.48 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 41c | 2,719$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.62 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 61c | 2,638$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.17 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 20c | 2,612$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.26 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 59c | 2,539$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 2,455$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.34 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 41c | 2,434$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.04 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 60c | 2,375$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b25…e597backed No | 60c | 2,337$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 48c | 2,291$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,244$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.45 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 59c | 2,236$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.99 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 41c | 2,201$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.68 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,106$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.15 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.85 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 41c | 1,999$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.4 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…c20bbacked No | 53c | 1,970$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 38c | 1,914$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.69 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…892cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,815$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…02d2backed Yes | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 48c | 1,787$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…e5e1backed Yes | 40c | 1,645$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 46c | 1,643$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.41 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 60c | 1,569$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.42 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 48c | 1,537$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.24 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 40c | 1,507$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.77 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 1,507$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.24 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 47c | 1,500$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.56 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 47c | 1,494$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.9 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 41c | 1,443$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.13 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 50c | 1,308$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.98 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 47c | 1,268$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 1,216$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.83 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 13c | 1,044$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Yes | 48c | 1,021$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…9373backed No | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 40c | 1,013$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.51 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 44c | 1,011$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.36 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 46c | 1,005$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.93 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 38c | 999.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 38c | 999.65$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.78 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 53c | 958.83$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed Yes | 40c | 939.8$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Yes | 44c | 910$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 47c | 897.19$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.51 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +7.1wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 60c | 860.44$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.07 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked No | 59c | 830$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…8b17backed Yes | 41c | 822.73$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 39c | 789.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.89 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Yes | 40c | 751.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.57 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 60c | 739.39$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.73 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Algeria vs. Nigeria end in a draw?No won
- Will Algeria win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.