TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e66…53df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
308
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9244.6%41 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$232.17
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$126.5
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$225
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$119.06
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+271.2%+$271.2
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT7241.7%30 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$159.07
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+292.3%+$584.62
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$101.54
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$101.54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.9
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$196.43
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.98
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.15
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$171.11
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+177.8%+$213.39
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.1
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+189.9%+$265.93
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$108.62
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
La Liga — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+114.4%+$343.12
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$150
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$176.79
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$183.33
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$1,011.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will PSV win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.1
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$250
FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$132.56
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$190.91
Will NEC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AZ win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$95.25
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+91.1%+$182.11
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+185.7%+$222.86
Will NEC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+170.3%+$204.32
Will PSV win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$226.32
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$147.69
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$170.37
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$113.16
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$183.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+203%+$203.03
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+143.9%+$287.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.