TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,976,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,021,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,976,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,943 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed No40c4,889,365$1,974,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914,543.656100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+96.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Yes59c1,200,000$714,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes60c1,042,072$622,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622,265.8810438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Yes60c1,000,000$595,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595,00060%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes60c450,000$268,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268,5003946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes63c325,592$203,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203,833.91955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes59c237,606$141,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,170.79536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes60c225,000$134,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,7508940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Yes60c161,000$96,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,989.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No38c151,250$57,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,257.829748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes57c131,418$74,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,608.94247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes54c120,241$64,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,874.4390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c101,968$54,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,859.054,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Yes62c80,593$49,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,967.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No40c78,148$31,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,931.991,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes59c68,688$40,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,526.24852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed Yes60c60,000$35,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,800728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes62c59,855$36,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,917.9230634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No39c53,223$20,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,466.279028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Yes59c47,133$27,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,808.4740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No38c45,729$17,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,430.336145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No39c45,000$17,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,4507139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No37c43,952$16,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,528.416740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes59c37,776$22,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,382.296127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes38c36,590$13,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,905.2769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes61c33,000$20,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,1303158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes61c32,883$20,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,058.631258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c31,841$19,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,655.1550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes17c27,873$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,640.0629545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes61c25,226$15,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,487.941145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5b…a718backed Yes61c25,079$15,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,294.91520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-70.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes54c25,000$13,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,399.95955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No41c24,390$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,390.242948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No29c23,793$7,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,776.084845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No39c23,623$9,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,409.913847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Yes64c22,880$14,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,599.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked No39c22,500$8,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,6552227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No40c18,301$7,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,063.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No38c16,870$6,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,459.479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x072c…f037backed Yes64c15,677$9,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,985.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes47c15,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.94233.3%14 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked No38c15,000$5,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,365.364942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes38c14,915$5,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,667.731118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes59c13,534$8,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,051.963930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes60c13,472$8,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,083.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed No39c13,128$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,007.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+91.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Yes59c12,545$7,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,429.271145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes60c12,222$7,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,333.23345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No31c11,889$3,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,233.3512553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes60c11,849$7,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,095.1753246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes65c11,702$7,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,552.614067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No32c10,919$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,374.9129038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No30c10,551$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,416.419851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes60c10,200$6,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1225058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes61c10,000$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0505052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0006944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,20030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,099.892748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes52c9,971$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,200714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-81.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Yes61c9,830$5,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,949.1750%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No39c9,671$3,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,915.071,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes62c9,331$5,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,769.6226550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a5…398fbacked Yes61c9,316$5,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,675.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed Yes59c9,237$5,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,449.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c9,166$4,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,352.552,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Yes60c9,000$5,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3701040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes70c7,877$5,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,535.274457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes60c7,682$4,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,609.21631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes59c7,661$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,546.0825648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes60c7,621$4,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,603.9964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab72…0888backed Yes61c7,610$4,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,642.291450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed No40c7,500$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5002100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes56c7,214$4,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,054.396061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed No40c7,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Yes1c6,971$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.664353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab44…d88ebacked Yes35c6,935$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes62c6,809$4,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,195.5715646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes61c6,506$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.1810250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes61c6,500$3,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9655038%19 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd57e…9fc6backed Yes44c6,033$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,672.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf73d…80e7backed Yes59c6,017$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.29520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-68.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes59c6,000$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5102035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes60c6,000$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5761330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x063b…7328backed Yes61c6,000$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,660683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No37c6,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.966640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No43c5,827$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.562166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes62c5,791$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.462669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes50c5,720$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.0440033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes64c5,530$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5204362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No37c5,497$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.927851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Yes1c5,287$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.862466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes38c5,265$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.545658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes61c5,092$3,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No41c5,018$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.489450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes60c5,007$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.349656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes60c5,000$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0202347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.989625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c11…b0e6backed Yes50c4,985$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.8560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No38c4,960$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.684753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.