TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7a8…14f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,281.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$368,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$368,883.35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+109.9%+$32,972.11
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+64.9%+$3,243.47
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42,467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.9%+$13,556.22
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+162.3%+$8,114.43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$417,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$417,980
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20,000
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20,000
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+173.9%+$5,216.22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,437
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$321,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+47.8%+$153,561.14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$5,000
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17,180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+57.2%+$9,820
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$202,241Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+55.2%+$111,661.49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+47.3%+$10,397.56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+44.2%+$6,626.24
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100.2%+$15,030.08
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20,905Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$13,365.43
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$49,207.58
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79,904Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$31,073.78
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14,777Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7,278.22
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14,976Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.8%+$10,453.88
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.8%+$22,254.76
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25,000
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+64%+$10,246.95
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+26.7%+$26,394.06
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15,000
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$6,949.15
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,999Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.8%+$2,664.36
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20,000
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+51.5%+$7,727.27
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$6,949.15
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20,956Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8,149.56
Will Austria win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+28.9%+$866.82
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$203,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$203,833.91
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$41,000
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10,000
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.8%+$14,929.35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148,764Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.3%+$103,113.32
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,030Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$6,970
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+60.9%+$15,225.21
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14,311Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+90.7%+$12,985.33
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50,000
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.2%+$6,602.26
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+58.7%+$5,873.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.