Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda01c0caddd894b36d23a8a590250ef4d6274b2006610a77c068c8d2f3da73d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $760,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $838,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 580 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 40c | 183,869$72,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,880.82 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 61c | 118,465$72,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,768.5 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 103,815$63,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,059.36 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 38c | 73,222$27,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,883.2 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 62c | 32,258$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,258.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.95 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 39c | 26,000$10,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,139.89 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 39c | 21,486$8,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,379.53 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 1c | 19,150$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 38c | 18,369$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.02 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 61c | 18,000$10,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 39c | 17,725$6,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,912.82 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 13,550$4,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,657.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 60c | 12,836$7,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,162.86 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 38c | 10,021$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.03 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 61c | 10,000$6,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,925 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…d0abbacked Yes | 61c | 8,153$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked No | 40c | 6,690$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 6,488$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.99 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 39c | 6,000$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 40c | 5,207$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.69 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 39c | 5,152$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.68 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 60c | 4,996$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 62c | 4,865$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.84 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 62c | 4,270$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.78 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 39c | 4,154$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.12 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Yes | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.8 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Yes | 61c | 2,787$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 61c | 2,607$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.02 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 62c | 2,433$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.58 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 40c | 2,300$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.55 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked No | 41c | 2,012$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 62c | 1,913$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.79 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 61c | 1,901$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.51 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 38c | 1,821$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 60c | 1,767$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.67 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39a3…bd26backed Yes | 60c | 1,744$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.48 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 38c | 1,700$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae11…b96bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,605$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,483$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.49 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424b…9fc8backed Yes | 59c | 1,350$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yes | 60c | 1,302$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 39c | 1,295$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.98 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed No | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 39c | 1,134$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…ca8dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 39c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 39c | 985.43$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.32 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…b7d7backed Yes | 61c | 933$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.87 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…3c17backed No | 40c | 854.81$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb313…f17bbacked No | 40c | 850$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…2ba1backed Yes | 60c | 828.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.42 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes | 62c | 804.84$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.84 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931b…0f2dbacked Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…9133backed Yes | 62c | 799.45$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…617dbacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 61c | 737.7$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.7 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 735.91$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.25 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 60c | 729.62$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.85 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 61c | 723.8$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.28 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 62c | 673.82$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…2df7backed No | 40c | 660$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Yes | 61c | 651.8$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked No | 41c | 543.54$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 60c | 533.33$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked No | 39c | 529.49$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked No | 32c | 517.07$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 59c | 509.9$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.06 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 37c | 503.02$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.31 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…89dabacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…79dfbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…06b7backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.