TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9264…bca3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
506
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT11143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$611.11
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$503.5
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$501.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$450.9
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+124.2%+$315.8
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$401.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$601.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$501.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$404.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$281.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+128.8%+$647.35
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.3%+$196.26
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+141%+$282
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$198
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$250.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,043.35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$251.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$504
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10149.5%50 W · 51 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$445
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.92
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$195
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+900%+$450
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$520
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$580
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$370
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$446.49
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$443.4
SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$224.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,005.05
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7350.7%37 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.05
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$209.1
Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$501.2
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+120.3%+$303.88
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$761.4
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$2,250
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,812Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+57.2%+$3,322.62
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+67.6%+$1,014.66
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$225.59
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$254.39
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+37%+$113.4
Will Benin win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+175.2%+$534.79
Will Mali win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$68.2
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+67.4%+$338.77
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.7%+$199.92
Will Sudan vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$85
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$100
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT5563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$290
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$307.8
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$45.21
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$502.18
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$306.45
US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$209.1
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$205.9
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$223.2
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$406
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$114.7
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$181.17
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$71.88
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$555.4
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$195
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,013.8
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$129
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.79
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$247.5
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$207
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+43.1%+$129.82
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST5255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$580
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$570
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$437
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+109.2%+$134.68
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$480.39
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$520.41
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203.1%+$1,015.3
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$347.46
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$176.8
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$161.2
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+55.7%+$280.05
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+46.8%+$280.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$226.3
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+113.2%+$169.89
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will FC Metz win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$27.3
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+400%+$200
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$151.97
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100.79
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+187.3%+$483.18
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT4854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$276.42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+132.6%+$570
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$165
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$503.1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$926.4
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$500.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$502.14
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50.17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$226.28
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$96
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$129.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.9%+$136.39
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$199.5
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$125
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+203%+$203.03
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$41.73
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+156.4%+$79.77
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$204.55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$423
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$410
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$512
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$55.19
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+316.7%+$159.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+60.3%+$244.6
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$253.6
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.2%+$324.68
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+178.7%+$89.34
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+149.9%+$74.93
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bayern München vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 24 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,037
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$240
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$117.5
SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$365.37
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+451.2%+$225.58
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$181.03
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.08
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$112.71
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+217%+$240.82
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$83.06
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$15.24
Linea FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+116%+$116
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
$POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+69.7%+$473.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+35.2%+$105.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,072.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.