Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb56165bffc3f28924de23c95f09514ef683dfedaa5d156665df7820109730442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $911,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $894,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $911,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 75c | 100,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 71c | 75,349$53,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,800.02 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 62,483$6,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,314.98 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 25c | 60,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d89…a2febacked Yes | 77c | 58,254$44,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,398.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 23c | 51,919$11,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,941.36 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 27c | 43,504$11,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,578.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 25c | 38,177$9,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,590 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 24c | 35,245$8,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,617.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 25,000$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,249.99 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 74c | 22,944$17,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,882.75 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 25c | 22,100$5,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,611.94 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 23c | 13,806$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.43 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 69c | 12,000$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.99 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 69c | 10,492$7,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 77c | 10,113$7,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.99 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…c2f4backed No | 31c | 10,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 17c | 9,599$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.63 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 71c | 8,991$6,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.37 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 75c | 8,657$6,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 28c | 8,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 77c | 7,392$5,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 28c | 7,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 25c | 6,583$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 28c | 5,619$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.48 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 22c | 5,204$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.87 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 27c | 5,076$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.52 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab1f…e5bcbacked No | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed No | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 72c | 4,987$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.52 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 18c | 4,769$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.47 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 80c | 4,500$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 31c | 4,300$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 31c | 4,242$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 30c | 4,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 75c | 3,916$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.91 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 24c | 3,200$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 72c | 3,098$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.59 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 27c | 3,052$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.89 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 24c | 2,658$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 2,433$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.55 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 78c | 2,433$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 27c | 2,327$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…f02cbacked No | 31c | 2,229$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 30c | 2,222$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.6 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 18c | 2,137$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.13 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 7c | 2,036$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 28c | 2,000$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 75c | 1,830$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.36 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 30c | 1,659$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.45 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…4deabacked Yes | 76c | 1,441$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,436$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.28 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…e266backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 77c | 1,373$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.73 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Yes | 73c | 1,361$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 30c | 1,321$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 22c | 1,250$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.96 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 23c | 1,051$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.73 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.87 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 35c | 999.93$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.98 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed No | 28c | 977.62$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae49…6323backed Yes | 76c | 917.53$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed No | 27c | 908$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…a69abacked No | 26c | 851.43$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 69c | 849.93$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Yes | 72c | 836.38$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…323cbacked Yes | 75c | 827$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 75c | 744.69$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 69c | 730$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 33c | 680$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…05adbacked Yes | 73c | 630.18$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 80c | 630$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Yes | 70c | 554.98$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 66c | 548.75$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 77c | 547$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 74c | 522.93$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 32c | 521.36$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.66 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 28c | 455.7$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 23c | 434$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 76c | 420$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 27c | 412.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-16?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.