TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf8d8…8d55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
302
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 64 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT9870.4%69 W · 29 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$152.57
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.02
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.98
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$527
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$419.9
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$978.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$130
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$176
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$306
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$200
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$174.33
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$43
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$275
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$105
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$240
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$140
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$140
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$135
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$120
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2979.3%23 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+28.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,040
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,040
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$160
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+99.5%+$204.5
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$525
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$332.22
Raiders vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+44.2%+$169.63
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$540
Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$525
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$624
Total Over/Under 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$540
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+100.5%+$46.18
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+25%+$100
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+25%+$100
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$180
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+49.3%+$99
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+58.7%+$293.78
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+69.5%+$287
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+35.1%+$143
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+46.1%+$253.79
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+40.8%+$81.69
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$228.72
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,407Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+113.2%+$1,592.55
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.8%+$416.82
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$433.22
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114.09
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+49.9%+$124.9
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+132.9%+$656.2
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$148.08
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+52.5%+$413.34
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$52
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$240.87
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$372.94
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+409.8%+$482.3
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$405
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$501.99
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$512.5
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$443.8
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Trump x Putin talk by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$64.07
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will the US sanction Russia before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$130
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$140
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$325
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$150
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$990
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$440
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$710
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+100%+$500
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+378.7%+$791.12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$467.5
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$215
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$540
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$655.47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$608
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$232
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+233.3%+$350
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+53.8%+$175
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$294.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$360
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$79.9
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$150
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$216
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$126.14
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$368
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$730
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$408
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$189
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$130
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$930
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$135
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$330
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$630
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$240
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$740
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$414
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$225
Will Real Madrid beat Getafe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.30per pick40cpaid+92.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$224
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.3
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$570
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.5%+$783.39
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+143.8%+$589.81
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+360.3%+$430.53
Will Israel strike 3 countries in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.14
Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+497.6%+$497.57
Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.8
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+97.4%+$394.85
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$480.31
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+356.7%+$781.05
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+59.9%+$119.83
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+31.6%+$38.4
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+151.3%+$90.3
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$48
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.91
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.99
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$240
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$560
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$234
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+51.5%+$204
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$160
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$125
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$429
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$180
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$107.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$178.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$165
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$58
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$210
Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will Bayern Munich win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$364.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$180
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$41.79
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$992
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,302.69
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$72
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$60
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$393
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$44
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Unemployment" 15+ times during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+149.5%+$398.41
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.27
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 5 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$82.28
Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+170.3%+$173.25
Will Jerome Powell say "growth" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$17.38
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+26.6%+$31.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+57.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+93.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-68.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: TES vs ALbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$270.5
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$533.5
LoL: HLE vs T1backed HLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+71%+$238.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$182.26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$773Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$327.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$490
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.