TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

LoL: HLE vs T1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HLEof HLE, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$306,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$353,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd957…c5ffbacked T123c43,577$10,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,004.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…74b8backed T145c27,500$12,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,37510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed HLE55c25,503$14,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,476.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed HLE77c22,092$16,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,102.1923852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed T130c20,649$6,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,102.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed HLE74c20,143$14,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,330.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed HLE47c19,721$9,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,447.1921645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed HLE75c15,000$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d59…d20fbacked T140c14,200$5,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,727.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked T123c13,950$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.461145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6a…1a00backed T158c12,701$7,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,310.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed HLE50c11,530$5,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,812.721,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed T154c10,000$5,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,377.9319448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked HLE35c9,243$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,007.921637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed HLE80c9,013$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.815100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked HLE36c8,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,119.9921424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked HLE77c7,847$6,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.55145.1%23 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf75c…1db1backed T128c7,203$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4992…6f5cbacked HLE75c6,154$4,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.04650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked T120c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed HLE55c4,903$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.294639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed T160c3,693$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed T148c3,525$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.7324139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed T165c3,107$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked HLE73c3,000$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.8826351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe529…e7b1backed T165c3,000$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed HLE62c2,960$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed HLE69c2,871$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.7527345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked HLE35c2,810$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.5120855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x823c…0425backed T142c2,550$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed T165c2,308$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4006…9f86backed HLE66c2,160$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ed…ff7fbacked HLE45c2,034$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked T164c1,960$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.812441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed HLE57c1,769$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.283366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed HLE36c1,669$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.4316335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf25…cd94backed HLE38c1,510$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581d…2b06backed HLE75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-77.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4de7…2d9abacked HLE36c1,388$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4427…9016backed HLE68c1,210$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7c…7733backed HLE69c1,200$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed HLE38c1,104$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.453545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed T120c1,012$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.391936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed T162c1,000$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61646340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed T163c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa25b…0151backed T121c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed HLE36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed T164c990.41$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.8626344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb0…e3a4backed T123c870.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3493…40afbacked HLE64c838.94$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked T162c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked T127c800$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked T164c800$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5128354.2%45 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked T163c799.99$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5071,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed HLE58c770.55$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4f…829ebacked HLE46c746.68$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ac…4901backed HLE37c734.92$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72d…a4e0backed T151c716.13$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed HLE56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30823351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b6…7935backed T124c689.6$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked T145c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked HLE36c630.01$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.215143.1%22 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked T144c625.7$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6147055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ea…7a3dbacked HLE65c614.47$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked T126c586.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed HLE58c574.45$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed HLE36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.564100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+141.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62f7…129abacked HLE36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed HLE39c554$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.146643.9%29 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed T132c534.13$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0918624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed HLE36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3205,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed T140c500$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked HLE35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed HLE80c495$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed T143c464$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.524734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2a…5ccebacked T121c430.28$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.271947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed HLE56c423.6$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.32740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed HLE37c405.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.41785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+58.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31fa…20c5backed HLE36c400.35$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed T165c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-71.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked T155c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed HLE34c400$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26426251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked T147c392.42$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.881040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8662…c94fbacked HLE58c390.32$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.89333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed T126c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked HLE37c371.24$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.573542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked HLE59c358.21$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.54850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…31d3backed T128c356.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.231330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba0…3d98backed T142c353.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked HLE33c350$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.58237.8%31 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87c7…29aebacked HLE38c350$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+93%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed HLE79c340.14$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.471637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0490…35e4backed T140c329.57$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.511283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa3e…e671backed T126c322.27$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked T166c309.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.62944.8%13 W · 16 L-6.2wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-34.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed T165c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed T165c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1958055%44 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e6…95c4backed T166c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked T149c296.66$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.371,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed T154c278.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024350.6%123 W · 120 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.