TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb6a…1a00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,281.54
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$271.94
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$94.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.71
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.44
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,780Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$1,454.16
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,755Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,018.84
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,162.98
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$382.36
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$510.98
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$613.51
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$141.52
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$208.36
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO1)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,990Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+48.7%+$969.48
Game Handicap: FOX (-1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,325
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,406Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$845.49
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$646.86
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOIbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,272
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.Gbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$772.62
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs 100 Thievesbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$707.32
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,594.8
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. KT Rolsterbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+532.8%+$4,571.28
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. 100 Thievesbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,118.6
League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. Team Vitalitybacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+53.5%+$115
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,822Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+108.4%+$3,057.95
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$485.4
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$228.64
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$420.88
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,755Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,755.13
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,549Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$1,144.91
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,994Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$1,074.1
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$1,278.69
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,963Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$1,203.05
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,400
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$1,333.33
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,113.84
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,081.27
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,571.69
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$758.74
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,024.93
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,763Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+63.7%+$1,123.35
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,594Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+103.9%+$1,656.17
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,225
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,320
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$1,718.18
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$1,381.52
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,593Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$689.16
Giants vs. Bills backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,999.89
Browns vs. Panthersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+204.5%+$4,090.29
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+100.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$815.32
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,326Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+162.8%+$2,158.27
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$1,520.73
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$165.11
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$661.88
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+51.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,005
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+133.9%+$1,435.37
Florida vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$1,250.85
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$936.73
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,066Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+159.7%+$3,298.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Aljamain Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,469Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$757.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HLE vs T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,310.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.