Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. Team Vitality
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2fe38c89a6c25093da792af3cc03635202c7aab76ec89b784b792cbf5f558e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Team Heretics, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Team Vitality | 50c | 4,237$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.9 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Heretics | 39c | 4,188$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.53 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Team Vitality | 71c | 3,528$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.28 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Heretics | 22c | 2,380$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.4 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Vitality | 67c | 2,077$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.48 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Team Heretics | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Heretics | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Team Vitality | 67c | 1,270$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.45 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Team Vitality | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Heretics | 50c | 971$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.6 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed Team Heretics | 42c | 560$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Heretics | 43c | 419.95$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.39 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Heretics | 33c | 399.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed Team Vitality | 65c | 330$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Team Heretics | 26c | 310$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Team Vitality | 66c | 302.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Team Heretics | 36c | 295$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Team Heretics | 7c | 273.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…a343backed Team Vitality | 62c | 259$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Team Heretics | 33c | 251.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Team Heretics | 40c | 247.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed Team Heretics | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Team Vitality | 71c | 195$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Team Vitality | 67c | 162.78$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Team Vitality | 53c | 116.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Heretics | 33c | 113.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Team Vitality | 51c | 101.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Team Heretics | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Team Heretics | 46c | 98.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Vitality | 59c | 97.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…31d3backed Team Heretics | 27c | 93.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…b2cfbacked Team Heretics | 35c | 80.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Team Heretics | 36c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…a95bbacked Team Heretics | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Team Heretics | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked Team Heretics | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4f…a90bbacked Team Heretics | 46c | 44.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Heretics | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…daf3backed Team Vitality | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Team Vitality | 62c | 34.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 164 | 21.3%35 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed Team Vitality | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Team Vitality | 66c | 27.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.