TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf92c…60e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
251
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT16828.6%48 W · 120 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 168 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.79
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.8
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.89
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.7
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$18.31
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.9
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+278.7%+$55.74
Will Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.02
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs MIBR.LOS (+1.5)backed MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$201.81
Will Lyon Make Finals at MSI 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.11
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Showing 25 of 168 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wales vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.32
Will Romania win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$105.3
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Romania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$52.7
Will Romania vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.5
Will Romania win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+360.3%+$399.2
Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.5
Will Norway vs. Moldova end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Moldova win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.92
Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Belgium vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will North Macedonia vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.6
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.47
Will Lithuania win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Lithuania vs. Netherlands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.65
Will Bulgaria win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.7
Will Georgia vs. Bulgaria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.1
Will San Marino win on 2025-09-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will San Marino vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.3
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$87.09
Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.3
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FCSB end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.2
Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. AC Sparta Praha end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$95.99
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$56.07
Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+400%+$63.99
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+100%+$32
Will FC Basel 1893 vs. FCSB end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.6
Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Noah FA end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$133.2
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will FCSB vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will FCSB vs. BSC Young Boys end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$35.36
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. FCSB end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.52
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.9
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$243.36
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.16
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.2
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.5
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$78.87
Will Saudi Arabia airdrop aid into Gaza?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$256
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+126.6%+$201.1
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+260.4%+$156.21
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+184.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.99
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84
50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+418.2%+$217.89
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.8
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.86
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$242.67
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Friday June  27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+549.1%+$768.68
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Osasuna vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$90.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.