Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2fc36d5f9bd808e7e1c65b21da9f69cb112541d3b403034f66b0004e38172ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,169,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,655,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,169,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,012 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 12c | 703,008$87,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,804.13 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes | 14c | 292,770$39,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,749.69 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 23c | 235,528$54,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,341.91 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked Yes | 15c | 194,285$28,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,824.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 18c | 182,525$32,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,265.47 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 18c | 172,396$31,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,749.5 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 12c | 134,635$16,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,447.7 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 11c | 123,285$13,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,099.16 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 28c | 106,310$30,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,095.66 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…ac84backed Yes | 19c | 104,702$19,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,893.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 13c | 102,138$13,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,238.52 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 77c | 97,614$75,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,203.39 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 14c | 90,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 15c | 67,294$10,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,281.37 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 74c | 66,189$48,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,426.84 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 32c | 63,994$20,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,490.54 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 11c | 54,206$6,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,135.48 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 14c | 52,698$7,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,592.75 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 76c | 44,795$34,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,579.33 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 77c | 43,499$33,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,139.93 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 21c | 40,714$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a4…3956backed Yes | 3c | 37,316$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed No | 71c | 36,807$26,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,746.23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 32c | 36,023$11,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,324.83 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 3c | 35,160$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.54 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 5c | 31,000$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 21c | 29,067$6,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,227.48 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed No | 75c | 28,583$21,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,070.47 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 25c | 26,888$6,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,612.2 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 65c | 26,827$17,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,415.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 26c | 26,190$6,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,686.32 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 35c | 25,276$8,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,939.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Yes | 10c | 25,257$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.54 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 68c | 25,162$17,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,055.86 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3d…4266backed Yes | 33c | 24,698$8,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,153.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 24,259$4,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,797.28 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 41c | 21,463$8,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,824.24 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 21c | 20,492$4,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,388.25 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 57c | 20,313$11,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,753.51 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 27c | 20,249$5,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,565.31 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 46c | 19,134$8,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,830.16 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 53c | 18,102$9,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,602.98 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…b4bbbacked No | 52c | 17,632$9,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,463.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked Yes | 36c | 17,361$6,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,183.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 17c | 16,911$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.44 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x037a…c53ebacked No | 64c | 16,790$10,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,122.55 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 16,725$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.1 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 13c | 16,454$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.36 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 40c | 15,968$6,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,585.96 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 17c | 14,416$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…fa31backed No | 60c | 14,398$8,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,829.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 6c | 14,000$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 13,991$10,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.91 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…8e93backed No | 70c | 13,952$9,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed No | 73c | 13,780$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 12c | 12,091$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.23 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 14c | 11,891$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.02 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 19c | 11,858$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.66 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 33c | 11,604$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.65 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 15c | 11,175$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.54 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 28c | 10,111$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.79 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 69c | 9,693$6,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.16 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7379…79f0backed No | 44c | 9,303$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,218.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 74c | 9,300$6,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…f14bbacked No | 68c | 9,098$6,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.22 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 17c | 8,918$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.01 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 54c | 8,811$4,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,738.4 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 25c | 8,500$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed No | 49c | 8,124$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.32 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 31c | 7,838$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 33c | 7,523$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.86 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 34c | 7,350$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.98 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…bc54backed No | 70c | 7,159$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.13 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed Yes | 10c | 7,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked Yes | 14c | 7,000$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…11afbacked Yes | 72c | 6,895$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…a086backed No | 64c | 6,755$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 19c | 6,732$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.3 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 30c | 6,700$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…03efbacked No | 79c | 6,609$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed No | 32c | 6,372$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,325.57 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…cdbfbacked Yes | 14c | 6,287$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.78 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 56c | 6,232$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.73 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Yes | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed No | 55c | 5,800$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 5,708$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.51 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…7193backed No | 61c | 5,696$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…433bbacked No | 79c | 5,618$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.91 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 20c | 5,599$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 5,595$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.8 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 11c | 5,536$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.09 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +721.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 14c | 5,384$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.26 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 12c | 5,250$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.89 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8715…c524backed Yes | 16c | 5,111$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 30c | 5,006$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.1 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 79c | 5,000$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.55 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…a05ebacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed No | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…0ad5backed No | 67c | 4,969$3,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.38 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0260…0d88backed No | 78c | 4,950$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.