TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b0e…e3ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,972
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT42818.7%80 W · 348 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 428 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,720.52
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.86
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.73
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.23
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$7,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,094.63
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.17
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.78
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.27
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+363.8%+$1,161.41
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.51
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.54
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.04
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.03
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.72
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,275
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,722Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$4,120.76
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.28
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.19
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.56
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.83
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+378.9%+$333.4
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+456.8%+$447.66
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.53
Showing 25 of 428 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT33313.2%44 W · 289 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 333 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.51
Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.7
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.81
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.14
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.22
Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.31
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.77
Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.79
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.78
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.27
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$765.8
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.1
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.29
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,509.63
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.14
Les Wexner charged by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.57
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.68
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.81
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+335.6%+$2,945.06
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,578Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+229.1%+$5,906.08
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$751.37
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.36
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,813Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+139.9%+$2,536.55
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+363.5%+$2,316.46
Showing 25 of 333 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT25311.5%29 W · 224 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 253 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050.45
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$48.37
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+577.1%+$120.27
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.5
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,258.29
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$868.04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,334Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$4,081.68
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.06
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.44
Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
Will Norway join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.62
Will Switzerland join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Will Finland join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.49
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.9
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.18
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,203.98
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.86
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.19
Will China join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.31
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.84
Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.81
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.96
Will France join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.82
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.31
Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.35
Showing 25 of 253 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT19011.6%22 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick12cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 190 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.79
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.21
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.04
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.09
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Storytime with the Second Lady Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.38
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+252.9%+$2,662.82
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.37
Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.01
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,186.03
Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.52
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.24
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.18
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,450.95
Anthropic CEO arrested?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.98
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$143.67
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.16
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.31
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.13
Showing 25 of 190 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT18216.5%30 W · 152 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 182 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Restore receives 10%+ first preference votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.21
Will James Murray be in the Burnham cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.15
Will Catherine West be in the Burnham cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will Dan Jarvis be in the Burnham cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
Will Keir Starmer be in the Burnham cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+240%+$95.18
Will Jess Phillips be in the Burnham cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will Alan Campbell be in the Burnham cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will Jonathan Reynolds be in the Burnham cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.19
Will Louise Haigh be in the Burnham cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.29
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.17
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.45
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.94
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.14
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,673.71
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.02
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+172.1%+$611.71
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.74
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$720.78
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,633.23
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.65
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$12
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+317.5%+$50.19
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Showing 25 of 182 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT14015%21 W · 119 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.52
Will Chris Hemsworth appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will Anthony Mackie appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Michelle Yeoh appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.14
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.48
Will "Evil Dead Burn" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.92
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.07
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.65
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.55
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.27
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$345.65
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,067.16
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.6
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.83
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$50.39
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.12
Will A-Train die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.73
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.09
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+209.7%+$276.18
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$641.71
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.97
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT7521.3%16 W · 59 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+35%+$6.94
Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.94
Will Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.72
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.46
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.39
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$14.38
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Will Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.98
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+179.4%+$27.61
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.28
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.14
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.04
Will Mandy Ghusar advance from the CA-04 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
Will Heath Fulkerson advance from the CA-04 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Sharon Brown advance from the CA-04 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.39
Will Trevor Merrell advance from the CA-04 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.89
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$51.44
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.71
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT6317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.91
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.28
Will Warsh say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.22
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.31
Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.83
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.81
Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$32.5
Will Warsh say "Consumer Confidence" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$24.35
Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.02
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.48
Will Warsh say "North Star" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+252.7%+$33.32
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.24
Will Warsh say "Central Bank" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+405.2%+$61.76
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT5418.5%10 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.11
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.3
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.25
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.17
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 4% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.38
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 3% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.17
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $315 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.94
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$223.57
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.38
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.44
Will Nvidia (NVDA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.24
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $480–500 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$59.85
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440–460 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$112.5
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $460–480 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$127.69
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420–440 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.98
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $500–520 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$84.55
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$105 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.95
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $95-$100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$34.71
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$95 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$26.85
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+391.4%+$574.12
Will Opendoor dip to $5 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35.16
Will Apple reach $288 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.77
Will Apple dip to $248 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32.83
Will Netflix reach $124.30 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$169.76
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5219.2%10 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-35.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.5
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.35
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,277.96
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$178.74
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$737.93
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.88
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+326.6%+$55.5
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+659%+$91.32
Will Trump say "Eight and a Quarter War" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Will Trump say "Low-IQ" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$48.26
Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$39.88
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$47.36
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$5,732.35
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+86.6%+$10.39
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+73.4%+$33.81
Will Trump say "Ass" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+200.9%+$37.51
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.1
Will Trump say "Mental institution" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.35
Will Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.14
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,442.76
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+167.4%+$1,390.51
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+144.9%+$1,615.49
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$784.42
Maduro receives asylum by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.91
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT4022.5%9 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+437.5%+$789.57
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+309.6%+$346.3
Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.42
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.34
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.11
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.57
Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.06
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.66
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.34
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$437.78
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,668.04
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$76.57
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$185.84
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$390.43
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$45.01
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50.94
Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$124.94
Will there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.18
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+173.4%+$81.19
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123.63
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$55.63
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3718.9%7 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$850.47
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,604Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+164.7%+$4,288.48
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,773.08
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,587Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,586.77
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.04
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.86
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,983.83
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.22
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.51
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.83
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.19
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.24
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.75
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.1
Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.46
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.38
Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.94
Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.87
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.63
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.74
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.29
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.42
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.49
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT300%0 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.12
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.08
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Will Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.19
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.73
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.98
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70.78
Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.35
Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.07
Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.88
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.64
Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$425.29
Lana Del Rey divorce in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.95
D4vd arrested by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$265.73
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$126.16
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$56.49
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$109.36
Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.98
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$78.46
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$26.89
Will BIRDS OF A FEATHER by Billie Eilish be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$54.97
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+155.1%+$155.63
Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.47
Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.35
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$110.13
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+175.7%+$112.08
Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$52.86
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+131.7%+$14.78
Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.87
Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.77
Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$128.1
Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+150.7%+$23.06
Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.11
Will Olivia Rodrigo perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.04
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$102.77
Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+146.3%+$25.23
Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33.05
Will DtMF be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.77
Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$56.86
Will Billie Eilish perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.09
Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
Will Post Malone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$64.77
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$87.68
All 22 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.07
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,710Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+267.7%+$9,931.73
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,012Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.4%+$3,570.13
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.38
Will Booster Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.69
Will Zhipu Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30.29
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$254.69
China x Philippines military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.72
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$659.92
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.51
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,369.31
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$156.3
TikTok removed from App Store by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.74
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+705.2%+$231
Databricks IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
xAI IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.49
Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.13
Freddie Mac IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.84
Glean IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.73
Brex IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Remote IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
Vanta IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.16
Ripple Labs IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.06
Discord IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.02
Wealthfront IPO in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$67.91
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.1
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.38
Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.32
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.07
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-57.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-54.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.58
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$390.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.