Us Politics · resolved market
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa33a1153f6ce8d2f334b698615ca2ffcadaf162be0e8dac77bfb80764f967b76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb09c…0b38backed Yes | 0c | 3,602$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 3,226$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.44 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Yes | 5c | 2,465$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.34 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 2,378$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 2c | 2,053$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…b335backed Yes | 2c | 1,590$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 13c | 1,429$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.94 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +10.8wins | +0.41per pick | 24cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 10c | 1,291$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.55 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…f419backed Yes | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 691.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 5c | 677.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…8553backed Yes | 3c | 645.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 6c | 621.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 28c | 606.04$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…5c56backed Yes | 9c | 583.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…6d13backed Yes | 5c | 577$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…6a49backed Yes | 8c | 530$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…8c52backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes | 6c | 474.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…a825backed Yes | 9c | 434.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b2…3234backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 310$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Yes | 11c | 301.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…b15dbacked Yes | 11c | 298.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 76c | 266.14$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 6c | 254.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 225$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b58…e80abacked Yes | 9c | 217.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa459…7dd6backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +832.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…e6c2backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eab…5ceabacked Yes | 11c | 186.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…2579backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…7e77backed Yes | 12c | 166.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 65c | 160.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea2…308bbacked Yes | 13c | 148.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…e43ebacked Yes | 8c | 140.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe094…fe93backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…a886backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 71c | 118$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…30b5backed Yes | 14c | 100.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -81%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 18c | 96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe71d…c75bbacked Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…a58bbacked No | 66c | 73.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?this page
- Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes won
- Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.