Us Politics · resolved market
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57c75de5d056d826ca75c5c5f316b5450685a69b28473b4d34e2529141102891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 0c | 22,849$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…5f03backed Yes | 31c | 10,640$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,340.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…8ebdbacked Yes | 47c | 9,000$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked No | 7c | 7,925$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…89edbacked No | 69c | 5,910$4,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…6e8ebacked No | 69c | 4,970$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed No | 65c | 3,141$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.72 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc4…08ccbacked Yes | 25c | 2,143$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +297.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.95 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 22c | 1,601$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 15c | 1,528$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.43 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked No | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 63c | 1,172$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.92 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 77c | 1,149$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.44 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,001$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.2 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.15 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 14c | 960.08$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 75c | 900$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.76 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked Yes | 23c | 863.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…fc8cbacked Yes | 24c | 844.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +322.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…de48backed No | 75c | 767.6$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Yes | 76c | 608.05$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 75c | 582.82$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 21c | 499.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +10.8wins | +0.41per pick | 24cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 14c | 476.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 20c | 469$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed No | 79c | 467.52$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…d8babacked No | 8c | 464.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes | 22c | 460$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 29c | 340$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…664abacked No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 20c | 233.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes | 21c | 226$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 76c | 216.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 43c | 208.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…4b33backed No | 78c | 207.77$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…2e9bbacked No | 75c | 203.19$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…8211backed Yes | 30c | 203.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 201.55$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.31 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 22c | 200$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 14c | 196.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.63 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd513…e249backed No | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…3295backed Yes | 22c | 184.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed No | 72c | 179.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 23c | 165.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 10c | 154.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked Yes | 19c | 143.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed Yes | 19c | 143.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked Yes | 19c | 143.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 28c | 135.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 125.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…5840backed Yes | 20c | 122.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 39c | 122.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 37c | 120.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 21c | 101.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…0793backed Yes | 28c | 100.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b7…1622backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…ca66backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2927backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +169%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…f792backed Yes | 21c | 93.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +233.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…77b6backed No | 26c | 91.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6e…30a4backed Yes | 30c | 89.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 89.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6473…19f7backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f9…1e9ebacked Yes | 23c | 88.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…cd5ebacked Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…fc0dbacked No | 79c | 73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Yes | 78c | 70.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 27c | 70.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…5ce9backed No | 73c | 68.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…0cb7backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…f125backed Yes | 79c | 65.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed No | 73c | 64.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 70c | 61.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 19c | 59.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…295ebacked Yes | 18c | 58.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…e3f6backed No | 74c | 54.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9af6backed No | 20c | 53.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 33c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 78c | 52.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed Yes | 26c | 52.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed No | 61c | 52.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed Yes | 28c | 51.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 78c | 51.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…d7e4backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 71c | 49.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 25c | 48.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…4611backed No | 77c | 48.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Yes | 78c | 47.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?this page
- Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.