Wallet 0x94bb…c320
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x94bbb8f7632d11dead6b8970646ad5655a5fc320
Rebuilt .
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked . We read the wallets we follow in rotation; the one we have gone longest without asking about was asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 169
- What they are worth now
- $6,923
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 48
bought for $7,270
worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 169, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?backed No | 352.27shares | 81c | 92c | $322 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?backed Yes | 378.74shares | 64c | 74c | $278 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?backed Yes | 465.6shares | 40c | 55c | $254 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?backed Yes | 654.03shares | 31c | 35c | $229 |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?backed No | 312.95shares | 66c | 71c | $221 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?backed No | 276.63shares | 92c | 79c | $217 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?backed No | 200.52shares | 93c | 93c | $185 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?backed No | 150.52shares | 93c | 94c | $141 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?backed Yes | 168.67shares | 83c | 83c | $139 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?backed No | 153shares | 91c | 91c | $139 |
Paid is Polymarket’s own average price over what the wallet still holds — it is not the entry price TailMyPicks derives for a scored pick, which is the volume-weighted average of the buys on the side it picked. Now is what the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last catalogue refresh. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not resolved and there is nothing yet to be right about.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 48. These are markets that have already resolved: the money is sitting there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open convictions, which is why they are not in the figures above.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · resolved | 754.3shares | 20c | $0 | Counted |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · resolved | 590.37shares | 18c | $0 | Counted |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · resolved | 449.32shares | 92c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x59ee…9874backed outcome 1 | 276.57shares | 21c | $0 | Not ingested |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed Yes · resolved | 268.99shares | 67c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do — the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table below. 1 is not in the published record at all — TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either it has yet to be ingested, or nothing anybody held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record below never add up. What this wallet is holding on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks has scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways — the record covers markets that have already resolved and been graded, these figures cover money that is still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
Summary
- Qualified picks
- 2,202
- Categories scored
- 46
- Categories below 50
- 25
Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).
Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Mls at 44.
What is a Tail Score?
A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.
The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.
The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.
Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.
Record by Category
Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.
The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 2,202 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.
| Category | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| Movieslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Musiclast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| Space Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.