MenuTailMyPicksEvent
EventWorld Politics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

This feed has stopped updating. Wallets last checked , more than its 360-second limit.

World PoliticsSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 5 wallets, $112,766 · No: 5 wallets, $15,532 5 of 10 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of World Politics when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of World Politics when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x6575…b198#9 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$11,44728c+$29,499.7865
0x9352…2227#14 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$8530c+$197.6964
0x3825…04e8#42 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2422c+$82.8962
0x23d8…0288#50 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2,67430c+$6,156.6162
0xd24b…ef76#129 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2,07069c-$2,069.9860
0x2b9d…adc0#151 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,30231c+$2,877.5159
0x88c4…129a#721 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$89,36472c-$89,364.356
0xeb49…693e#1,420 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$6,36372c-$6,36355
0xa4e3…b39e#1,889 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$10750c-$107.0754
0x2f9d…deb3#6,769 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$14,86268c-$14,861.5452

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 6 wallets, $13,047 · No: 2 wallets, $10,132 6 of 8 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of World Politics when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of World Politics when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xb5e8…a5f9#6 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$78078c+$22066
0x6575…b198#9 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2,90330c+$6,774.7765
0x72f7…92f7#22 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$25028c+$642.8563
0x23d8…0288#50 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$7,27530c+$16,682.9462
0xd24b…ef76#129 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1,38069c-$1,38060
0x2b9d…adc0#151 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,48229c+$3,628.6859
0xa6b7…d5f3#189 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$35731c+$793.559
0x2f9d…deb3#6,769 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$8,75267c-$8,751.9452
About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.