TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72f7…92f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT7346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$190.43
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$231.92
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.42
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,993Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$704.69
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.77
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,889Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$5,277.58
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.69
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+437.6%+$960.52
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.79
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,041.6
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.39
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$669.67
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,544Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+278.3%+$4,296.39
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,311.97
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.78
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,000
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$504
Spread: France (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$484.3
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$2,365.18
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$483.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$1,163.14
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$393.97
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20,152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7,080.35
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$9,319.2
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,783Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$3,904.86
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,595.94
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$8,256.03
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$1,051.48
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.84
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.51
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.87
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$329.4
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.24
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.77
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+437.7%+$272.82
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.84
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$247.65
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.1
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$903Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$716.59
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.05
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,072.54
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,770Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+83%+$5,620.4
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,552Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+197.2%+$8,977.06
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+216.7%+$684.29
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+590.8%+$4,347.38
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+634.3%+$1,798.69
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.2
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,801.49
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.77
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,015
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,661
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,747Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$1,876.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+242.2%+$2,972.57
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+333.4%+$3,457.04
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,585.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$717.37
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,437.77
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$924
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$323
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$87.4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$2,766.7
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$3,399.97
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+354.5%+$2,027.92
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+809.1%+$5,041.83
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+182.9%+$814.15
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$157.99
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$115.61
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175.55
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$842.8
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,047.2
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$137.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+135.7%+$1,094
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$124.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.