Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e16b27cf9d57c3e70ea330ab94680144530ff319b13e588a1960b933358f0a7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,339 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa98e…daa3backed Yes	38c	2,952$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c97…1b68backed No	60c	2,551$1,538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012.96	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.35per pick	48cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	6c	2,050$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.5	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e01…f056backed Yes	60c	1,144$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	39c	1,093$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.62	162	25.3%41 W · 121 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked No	51c	911.8$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.34	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8045…9116backed Yes	46c	908.32$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.94	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed No	78c	852.54$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.43	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	41c	803.06$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.99	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes	51c	800$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No	55c	649.97$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.49	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+4.0wins	+0.37per pick	45cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes	43c	600$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	70c	597.99$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.31	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes	21c	555.64$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.1	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No	62c	555$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.9	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19df…4404backed Yes	60c	555$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed No	62c	500$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	93	22.6%21 W · 72 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	55c	491.47$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.53	176	52.8%93 W · 83 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed No	55c	465.95$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.68	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.6wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Yes	44c	454.81$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	49cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	17c	449.99$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.42	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1db…c0afbacked Yes	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No	43c	416.58$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.58	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea0d…5866backed Yes	57c	355$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.35	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1af…701ebacked Yes	33c	350$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.5	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+4.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	343.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.97	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	22c	314.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	45c	304.16$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.73	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No	63c	302$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.74	110	38.2%42 W · 68 L	-11.1wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed No	59c	300$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123	101	38.6%39 W · 62 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed Yes	40c	291.63$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.26	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	69c	289.99$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.11	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	63c	269.82$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.67	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	65c	258.17$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.36	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x268f…bbd7backed Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No	38c	240.68$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.23	91	24.2%22 W · 69 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	6c	240$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Yes	50c	240$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked No	42c	238.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.1	135	39.3%53 W · 82 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Yes	44c	228.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes	37c	227.92$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.9	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb84c…e169backed No	48c	225.64$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.18	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20fb…f282backed Yes	46c	223.19$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.31	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed No	56c	221.61$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.51	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes	32c	220.1$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.53	240	37.1%89 W · 151 L	-17.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eaf…34d1backed Yes	57c	220$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.4	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-32%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	48c	216.06$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.74	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af9…b4bbbacked Yes	44c	200$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7244…2aafbacked Yes	44c	200$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…3ddabacked No	56c	200$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+3.5wins	+0.31per pick	60cpaid	+67.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa902…2597backed Yes	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked No	64c	199.99$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed No	64c	160$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.6	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No	61c	160$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.4	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x571c…b9f9backed No	49c	150$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	47cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	44c	150$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafbe…072ebacked Yes	45c	150$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4255…5596backed Yes	50c	149.99$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.49	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	44c	148.38$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.72	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes	25c	145.91$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.48	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Yes	75c	132.72$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e24…ca5dbacked No	37c	124.3$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.31	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+170.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a07…267fbacked Yes	38c	119.39$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes	53c	112.53$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	194	61.3%119 W · 75 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	23c	108$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e08…e8c6backed Yes	28c	105.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	57c	100.01$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.22	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	73c	100$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked No	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+3.9wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked Yes	23c	90$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2213…492cbacked No	66c	89.39$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.33	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	19c	82.72$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked No	61c	82$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	108	53.7%58 W · 50 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd2…c545backed Yes	57c	80.01$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.61	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	13c	80$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff3…531dbacked Yes	62c	78.35$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.58	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed Yes	60c	75$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9493…4d3fbacked No	42c	71.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.43	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No	53c	70.23$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.01	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeed8…35f0backed Yes	40c	68$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8db6…8679backed Yes	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c5…8581backed Yes	19c	63.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdd0…550abacked No	54c	62.81$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.02	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x291a…a405backed Yes	52c	57.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc37…a2f4backed Yes	52c	57.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes	62c	57.15$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.29	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d9…5653backed No	55c	54.65$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.59	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc476…22b5backed Yes	34c	52.94$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+127.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	58c	52.31$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.05	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9845…bbc2backed No	56c	50.84$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.37	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06ca…67aebacked Yes	63c	50.51$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b45…077ebacked Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	131	45%59 W · 72 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad77…3d96backed Yes	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…6c8bbacked Yes	57c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa935…e865backed Yes	59c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc83…37efbacked No	77c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x307f…4012backed No	59c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event