TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe457…5ab3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,400
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
25

Best Category: Tweets, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 51 out of 100; worst Earnings at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT43848.6%213 W · 225 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 438 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.42
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$42.33
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.68
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$95.14
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+174%+$25.4
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 90 mph?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.05
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+182.8%+$22.54
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be less than 0.1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.02
Will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$53.17
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$11.61
Showing 25 of 438 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT23245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 232 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60.28
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$32.5
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+52%+$37.81
Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will Donald Trump be shown 3-5 times at the World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will Donald Trump be shown 6-8 times at the World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+55%+$20.51
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$44.01
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+501.2%+$125.05
Will Lionel Messi Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Erling Haaland win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.81
Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.21
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.07
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$4.72
Will a Goal be Scored During 16-30 Minute?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Showing 25 of 232 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10542.9%45 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.13
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$16.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$32.96
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$26.4
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+186.5%+$92.76
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+263.1%+$182.41
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+460.2%+$164.3
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51%+$74.28
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$8.04
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.78
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$16.9
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.21
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.42
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.62
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.72
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$30.12
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10034%34 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.8
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$3.76
Will Chip Neiman be the Wyoming State Senate District 1 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.71
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$125.88
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.63
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$46.8
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.54
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$53.08
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$89.6
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.65
Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+734.3%+$136.84
Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.53
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Michael Kirwan be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.8
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.68
Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Robin Peguero be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT9647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$35.42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$93.44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$18.26
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+250%+$50.43
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.32
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+114%+$18.72
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$73.8
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.4
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.53
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.83
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT8033.8%27 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$75.27
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$177.8
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$29.54
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.86
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.37
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.67
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.04
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.41
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.93
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.64
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.45
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.81
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.91
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$109.19
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$15.45
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.64
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23.67
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 17 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 17 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 17 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of August 17 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of August 17 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of August 10 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.8
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 10 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 Week of August 3 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$67.2
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.03
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.05
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.77
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.89
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.71
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.22
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$6.74
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $59 Week of August 3 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.6
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$66.66
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$180
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.25
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+229.7%+$26.96
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.64
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+55%+$35.5
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will anyone say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" during Big Brother E20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$109.8
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+460%+$287.49
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.93
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.9
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$99.73
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.62
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.13
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.25
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$15.81
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.38
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Token Launcheslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Squid FDV above $200M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.01
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Over $27.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$41.9
Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Laso Finance FDV above $8M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Laso Finance FDV above $5M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+710.8%+$87.67
Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.71
Cap FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Cap FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Tea FDV above $80M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Group B be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will Group D be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$40.6
Will Legacy Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$32.04
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$241.15
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.26
Will MOUZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.47
Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$56.04
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$145.77
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.83
Will FaZe Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Liquid Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.47
Will Liquid Make Blast Bounty Grand Finalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+141%+$22.03
Will G2 Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will FURIA Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.93
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$25.07
Will Aurora Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will BetBoom Team Win the XSE Pro Leaguebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$238.29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$87.98
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+214.2%+$452.01
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.81
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.38
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.85
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$49.93
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$62.65
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.17
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.08
Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$9.99
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
IPOlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$10.86
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.14
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.37
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be less than $16B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.7B and $3.3B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.23
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$40.41
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.92
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$12.97
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$21.54
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$15.64
Will Innio's market cap be between $23B and $26B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$161.49
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.27
Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.11
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.26
Will Warsh say "Consumer Confidence" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.45
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+281.3%+$35.4
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
All 17 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Golf — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Doug Ghim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$4.9
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Harris English finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.16
Will Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Alejandro Tosti finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Ze-Cheng Dou finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Justin Rose finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Brian Harman finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will a player from the United States of America win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.11
Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.96
Will DN SOOPers Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$52.98
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$69.52
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Will Gen.G Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.06
Will Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$7.89
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$25.7
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$15.66
Will Zeka Win MSI Finals MVPbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.8
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.8
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 15 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-75.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Earnings — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.22
Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will ARM (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Penske (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Dave & Buster's (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Lennar (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.47
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$5.29
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$36.5
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+127.2%+$138.72
Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.68
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+29%+$7.61
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.85
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+110%+$19.23
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$17.15
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
Will Jason Kidd be the next Portland Trail Blazers head coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.18
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$10.63
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$5.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Lost Weekend" - Phoebe Bridgers first week album sales be 90k or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$83.39
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$118.13
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24.15
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.2
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.31
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42%+$14.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Fritz Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will Rafael Jodar Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.4
Will Brandon Nakashima Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.3
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.27
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$21.72
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$21.28
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-79.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jung Hoo Lee be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chesslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chase Reid be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.