Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92880c20543d0d8c818d07d9e57efcecc57569c3204f084b6237e15bf84cb304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 48c | 2,715$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.26 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 55c | 1,419$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.05 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked Yes | 57c | 1,249$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…d338backed Yes | 70c | 1,247$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,212$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.14 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa189…a2d5backed Yes | 77c | 1,200$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 35c | 1,127$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 41c | 1,112$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.96 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 71c | 953.09$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.93 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…9712backed No | 41c | 941.22$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.9 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 27c | 876$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.48 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 59c | 844.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.43 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 713$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.46 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afe…062abacked No | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 26c | 589.87$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.13 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 36c | 517$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.17 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 61c | 456$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.26 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 40c | 444$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.79 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 440.48$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.23 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 400$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 43c | 383.67$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed No | 67c | 377.63$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.06 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 45c | 360$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.63 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes | 33c | 350$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 20c | 288.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 60c | 277.26$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 31c | 253.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked No | 67c | 202.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 39c | 200.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…261abacked No | 64c | 190.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 31c | 189.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 39c | 180$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 77c | 175$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 21c | 170.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 54c | 165.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 155$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 38c | 154.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 154.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 38c | 149.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 35c | 144.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 28c | 140.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 65c | 132.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 35c | 131.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 17c | 124.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 61c | 117.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 39c | 115.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 26c | 105.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9842…5ac8backed Yes | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 97.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…309abacked Yes | 67c | 89.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cf…d696backed Yes | 42c | 81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abe…37b7backed Yes | 40c | 77.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f93…4171backed Yes | 63c | 74.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked No | 49c | 69.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a3…aa24backed Yes | 29c | 69.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 57c | 66.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8938…5264backed Yes | 60c | 64.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 63c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43b…78afbacked No | 17c | 62.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…3a43backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb598…14fcbacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 39c | 59.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…e321backed Yes | 37c | 57.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 63c | 53.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 53c | 52.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 64c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 64c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51a…67aabacked Yes | 35c | 49.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…8c5bbacked No | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…01e9backed Yes | 28c | 44.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 32c | 42.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 44c | 42.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 54c | 40.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 61c | 40.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed Yes | 53c | 38.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed No | 63c | 38.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 36c | 37.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…1bb8backed Yes | 45c | 33.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…bab3backed Yes | 61c | 30.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…56c4backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 50c | 26.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6cb5backed Yes | 65c | 25.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…6414backed Yes | 50c | 24.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 80c | 20.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ee…a2e3backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.