TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes48c2,715$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.2632639.3%128 W · 198 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Yes55c1,419$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.0518746%86 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaad…69ccbacked Yes57c1,249$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfff…d338backed Yes70c1,247$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes40c1,212$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.1423321.5%50 W · 183 L+1.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa189…a2d5backed Yes77c1,200$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No35c1,127$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.53540%14 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes41c1,112$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.9629423.5%69 W · 225 L+0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-43%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41015149%74 W · 77 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9199…dd2dbacked No55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9932739.1%128 W · 199 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes71c953.09$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.938247.6%39 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e25…9712backed No41c941.22$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.91711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-81%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x955c…990fbacked Yes27c876$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.487157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf697…c72cbacked Yes59c844.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.433625%9 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No36c713$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4612442.7%53 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9afe…062abacked No42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No26c589.87$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.133721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No36c517$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1710339.8%41 W · 62 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No61c456$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.266642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No40c444$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.798442.9%36 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No55c440.48$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.236833.8%23 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes62c400$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15447328.3%134 W · 339 L-32.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes43c383.67$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21813735%48 W · 89 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-35.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70b…6087backed No67c377.63$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0611633.6%39 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No45c360$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.639951.5%51 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes33c350$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2367241.7%30 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No20c288.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.713545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes60c277.26$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8510830.6%33 W · 75 L-13.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No38c265$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.96446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No31c253.02$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.163246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04f6…311abacked No67c202.61$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No39c200.4$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.363046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcffe…146dbacked Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8212936.4%47 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2213…492cbacked No64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1281136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2583…261abacked No64c190.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.191361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No31c189.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.353545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes39c180$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.82934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes77c175$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.93240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No21c170.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0910436.5%38 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No54c165.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6110042%42 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No45c155$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1511240.2%45 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No38c154.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.112962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No59c154.53$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.918225.6%21 W · 61 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed Yes38c149.07$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.422650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed No35c144.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No28c140.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2611924.4%29 W · 90 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d81…fe57backed Yes65c132.51$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.336150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No35c131.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.733040%12 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No17c124.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.323444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes26c120$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.86639.4%26 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No61c117.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5123130.3%70 W · 161 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No39c115.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.533542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No26c105.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0516737.1%62 W · 105 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4451…fcbebacked Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9842…5ac8backed Yes69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.81931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No54c97.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.755339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-40.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8aac…309abacked Yes67c89.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.492138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7cf…d696backed Yes42c81$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.851450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4abe…37b7backed Yes40c77.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.441233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f93…4171backed Yes63c74.39$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked No49c69.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.238231.7%26 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a3…aa24backed Yes29c69.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa047…4ffabacked No57c66.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8938…5264backed Yes60c64.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed8…35f0backed No63c63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.761643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa43b…78afbacked No17c62.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3296…3a43backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb598…14fcbacked Yes35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.15540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes39c59.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6119532.8%64 W · 131 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed Yes37c57.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+58.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes63c53.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.013557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes53c52.04$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4610139.6%40 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No64c51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.564119.5%8 W · 33 L-7.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-69.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No64c51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.564930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes37c49.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4914530.3%44 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb51a…67aabacked Yes35c49.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…8c5bbacked No70c45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc8b…01e9backed Yes28c44.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No32c42.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.558638.4%33 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed Yes44c42.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.813158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc15…cca6backed Yes54c40.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.581717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No61c40.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.446855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed Yes46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.65554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.84841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed Yes38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.82556%14 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…5506backed Yes53c38.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed No63c38.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No36c37.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.423246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b5…1bb8backed Yes45c33.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33fe…bab3backed Yes61c30.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.810814.8%16 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3344…56c4backed Yes38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.663148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No68c29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.818653.5%46 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056f…e487backed Yes50c26.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4912030%36 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cb…6cb5backed Yes65c25.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ce8…6414backed Yes50c24.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.081827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-54.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed No80c20.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.082133.3%7 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-50%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe7ee…a2e3backed No67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed No76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.