TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeaa9…1737

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,953
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1,12651.2%577 W · 549 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1,126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$37.2
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$84.42
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.23
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.52
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.46
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$44.92
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.67
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.45
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.92
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22.52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$29.68
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.34
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.63
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.7
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$86.42
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36.36
Showing 25 of 1,126 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT13148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$54.9
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.32
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.52
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$22.33
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.72
Will Donald Trump be shown 3-5 times at the World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$61.18
Will Donald Trump be shown 6-8 times at the World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.26
Will the announcers say "Appeal" or "Appealed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.8
Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.8
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.56
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.84
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.08
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.18
Will the announcers say "Penalty Kick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.25
Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.42
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.4
Will the announcers say "Legacy" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10243.1%44 W · 58 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.5
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.88
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.72
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.68
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$71.5
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$85.2
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.46
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.68
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$51.52
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.94
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.44
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT7832.1%25 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.64
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.16
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.88
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 17 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.04
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.32
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$81.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$177
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$118.58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT7550.7%38 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.84
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$43.89
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$94.71
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.39
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.69
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.25
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.68
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.84
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$35.72
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.69
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$22
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$23.32
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.5
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$39.24
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT7326%19 W · 54 L-10.6wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$163.68
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.47
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.01
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.2
Will Eric Yonce be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.52
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.08
Will Michael Kirwan be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.54
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$140.6
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25.6
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$67.9
Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.04
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.67
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT7241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+180%+$257.15
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.04
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.55
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.76
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$31.24
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$107.5
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.68
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$34.96
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$63.99
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$387
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+525%+$164.64
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.08
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.32
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$69.79
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+525%+$60.48
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$82.16
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT6040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.99
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.12
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$32.93
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$83.26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.54
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$177.62
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.2
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.1
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 40%-42%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$102.27
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 38%-40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$64.8
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8.93
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $23B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.22
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.37
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$184
Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20.25
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.86
Will anyone say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" during Big Brother E20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.86
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.76
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$40.7
Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.48
Will James Gunn appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Will anyone say "Marriage" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Will anyone say "Horse" during Rick and Morty E10 S9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will anyone say "Prophecy" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
Will Pedro Pascal appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will a trailer for Marvel Tōkon: Fighting Souls premiere at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.83
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Earningslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.17
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will RealReal (REAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.96
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.29
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.82
Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$22.05
Will Fidelity Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.04
Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.49
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$51.45
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$32.64
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$276
Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.95
Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
IPOlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyntris' market cap be less than $2B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$28.35
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $8B and $9.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.1
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$142.78
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.42
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Daybacked Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.37
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$117.6
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$108
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$123.84
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.9
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$50.22
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23.22
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$52.38
Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Bilibili Gaming win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will G2 Esports Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will LCK (South Korea) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.19
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$114.66
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.89
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Group D be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$27.41
Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.06
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Will Astralis Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.28
Will G2 Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$65.8
Will 100 Thieves Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$118.8
Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Will FalleN win a S-Tier event before June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$198
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Natus Vincere reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.16
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$37.12
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.34
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$57.31
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$80
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.46
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$68.04
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$55.97
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.8
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.55
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$71.28
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.4
Will Dplus Esports Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.85
Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Will EDward Gaming be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.68
Will Karmine Corp be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will REBORN Win Emea Challengers Stagebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Will Paper Rex win the EWC Valorant Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.89
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
Will G2 Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.08
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
All 11 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.43
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between -0.5% and 0.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.03
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$20.24
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35.32
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$82.56
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-38%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Innovation" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$22.33
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$178
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$188.28
Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$59.92
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.88
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Trump alleges Georgia foreign election interference by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.43
Will Trump accuse Iran of election interference by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$45.99
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.07
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Musiclast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chesslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$45.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xavier Villeneuve be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.