Movies · resolved market
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b26ff9677a5785c98bd40ae746f2ac488a1542b4425322da4cf96c7725df33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked No | 23c | 594.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 34c | 507.1$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 395.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 63c | 375.67$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.94 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 64c | 198$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +345.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 25c | 196.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 58c | 144.65$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 29c | 103.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…d8e3backed No | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 36c | 60.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 74c | 25.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 82 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 84 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.