Movies · resolved market
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ebf2ff19a6d3299410538d82b661fdce3c5478f47609b469ec2a5d627d5beac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6944…7275backed Yes | 65c | 1,244$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 36c | 911.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.64 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 36c | 357.4$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 6c | 284$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +345.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 22c | 149.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 11c | 121.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…e885backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +326.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 58c | 90.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…d8e3backed No | 78c | 81.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 75c | 69.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…e19dbacked No | 76c | 41.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 46c | 39.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 76c | 35.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdd…77a4backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…0358backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 82 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 84 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.