Movies · resolved market
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 84 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc611d7e4c49b52bac25d20a6f53bcdff406ba2c9fd63ec76748e06a778176659
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6944…7275backed No | 27c | 2,281$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,884$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.9 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 13c | 501.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 75c | 458.52$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 17c | 192.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…e19dbacked No | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed No | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 61cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…8c02backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…3cefbacked No | 31c | 38.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 38c | 38.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…aa50backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 84 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 82 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.