TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf86c…ba99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,760
Categories scored
52
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Lol, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 61 out of 100; worst CS2 at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT17355.5%96 W · 77 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+191%+$95.48
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+47%+$176.46
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$140
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.5%+$1,340.21
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+39.9%+$114
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,318Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29%+$382.29
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+55.4%+$60.33
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+197.6%+$66.4
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+70.5%+$248
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+83.5%+$18.2
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$267.48
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+32.3%+$94.61
Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$777.78
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$84.86
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$86.41
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+212.5%+$54.4
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$42
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT14560.7%88 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.25
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.63
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$27.88
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$12.47
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.44
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.76
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.8
Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Coby White: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.68
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.9
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$25
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+71%+$81.99
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$32.94
LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$32.95
Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.36
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT14530.3%44 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.75
Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$11.09
Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+223.8%+$46.99
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.64
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.49
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$71.89
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$17.51
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.75
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$62.16
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT14352.4%75 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$301.55
Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$15.49
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$139.68
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$47.93
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+234.6%+$187.7
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$7.48
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39%+$18.75
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.99
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.88
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$61.61
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.46
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$61.18
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT12959.7%77 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26%+$23.3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$82.99
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Burnley FC vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$245.59
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.31
Will Brentford win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,128.2
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+100.3%+$3,010.61
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+38%+$163.59
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$19.24
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+92%+$368.16
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,876Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+47%+$880.85
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT9942.4%42 W · 57 L-11.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$56.65
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.13
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+55%+$28.6
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+70%+$88.96
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$70.3
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$14.66
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$41.89
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$37.59
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$27.94
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.34
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.64
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.88
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$44.49
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.21
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+55.2%+$27.47
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Another Canada election called in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.1%+$10.1
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$493.99
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT8760.9%53 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$41.38
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.1
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$84
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$154
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will another player be the top Fantasy Tight End?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Lamar Jackson be the top Fantasy Quarterback?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+270.4%+$109.49
Will the Denver Broncos make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$55.24
Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+518.6%+$201.2
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+203%+$134
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$365.99
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+40.8%+$29
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+69.5%+$41
Scorigami in NFL Week 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+42.9%+$89.99
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+56.3%+$36
Scorigami in NFL Week 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+37%+$5.4
Eagles vs. Ramsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+69.5%+$41
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+42.9%+$30
49ers vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+42.9%+$30
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+58.7%+$37
Patriots vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+29.9%+$23
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT8145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$18.53
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.99
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+536.4%+$331.12
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.08
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.71
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.58
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.49
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.25
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+175.6%+$27.18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.88
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+313.5%+$458.61
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.84
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.66
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$42
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$70
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$207
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.54
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$97.46
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.99
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
France vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$34.13
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+98%+$49.5
Norway vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28%+$42.73
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$99.93
Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
France vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+39%+$172.37
Will Omar Marmoush score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.78
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT5850%29 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$8.61
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+217.4%+$27.88
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$8.88
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+60%+$7.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+152.4%+$131.85
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+31%+$3.55
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$9.38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.37
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+109%+$28.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+217.8%+$36.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$29.06
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$51.9
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.95
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.8
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.61
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$42.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75.99
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT4751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$13.3
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+540.8%+$907.61
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.6%+$368.39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+52.1%+$54.19
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$60.83
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+39%+$77.78
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25.8%+$51.32
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+74.1%+$522.41
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39.8
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+77.9%+$153.22
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+90.3%+$104.4
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$13.25
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+217.5%+$137
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+476.9%+$247.98
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT4348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.5
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$262
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$378.79
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$41.8
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.2
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$96.2
US Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Karolina Muchovabacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.6
US Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+34.3%+$33.18
US Open: Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+48.6%+$101.4
US Open: Ben Shelton vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.2
US Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
ATP Toronto – Etcheverry vs. Cerundolobacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Nordea Open: Darderi vs. De Jongbacked De Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.27
Nordea Open: Carabelli vs. De Jongbacked De Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+89.3%+$28.3
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$216.18
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+162.2%+$459.54
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$102
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Davidovich Fokina vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$15.6
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$144.83
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+134.4%+$86
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$42
ATP Finals: Zverev vs. Rublevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST+31.6%+$24
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$142.55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$93.88
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.2%+$60.37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$18.69
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.34
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$349.01
Will Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+55%+$28.4
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+66.7%+$53.33
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$111.71
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+91.1%+$71.5
Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.79
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29%+$45
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.81
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$139
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.35
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.31
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44%+$63.37
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$41.66
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$125.83
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$9.25
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+313.8%+$136.2
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$120
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.96
Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$152
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+37%+$5
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+46.5%+$20
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$205.66
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.75
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.08
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.1
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT4055%22 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.57
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.76
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$21.47
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.56
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.79
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$10.89
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.98
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+33.5%+$55.2
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25.7%+$28.6
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+300%+$112.5
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$94
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+94.2%+$96.68
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+763.2%+$335.97
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$138.66
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,132.78
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+63.4%+$694.21
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.04
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$64.28
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$46.8
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$29.23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.85
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+30.6%+$46.9
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+30.9%+$219.79
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35%+$391.35
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+43.9%+$244
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$160.8
Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.94
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.68
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.4
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$195
Will Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$59.27
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$50
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+37%+$27
Will Jerome Powell say "growth" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$32.67
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+33.2%+$149.6
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+45.1%+$62.2
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+87.3%+$233
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$61
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+61.3%+$38
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+27.5%+$75.52
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$127.49
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55.7
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+46%+$63
Will Léon Marchand win the most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+376.2%+$55.82
Will Great Britain win the 3rd most medals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$58.14
Will France win the 3rd most gold medals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+54.6%+$106
Will Hellen Obiri (KEN) win gold in the Women’s Marathon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$14.21
Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$44.78
Olympic Men’s Basketball: Germany vs. Serbiabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$88
Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
Olympic Basketball: Germany vs. Francebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.59
Olympic Women's Basketball: USA (-27.5) vs. Nigeria Spreadbacked Nigeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT+80%+$49.56
Olympic Basketball: USA (-27.5) vs. Brazil Spreadbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+35.8%+$223.99
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 1500m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+158.1%+$70.27
Will Josh Kerr (GBR) win Gold in 1500m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$10.3
Will Canada win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.77
Olympic Basketball: Australia vs. Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Greece win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.35
Olympic Basketball: Greece vs Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$6.93
Will Simone Biles win the most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$72
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$120
Will Kishane Thompson (JAM) win Gold in 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+69.8%+$46.01
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$48.44
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$22.68
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+183%+$296.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+261.3%+$30.12
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.45
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$292.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$28.69
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.3%+$36.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+150%+$180
Will Solana reach $160 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+27.4%+$42.02
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+62.6%+$154
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 August 25–31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will Solana reach $220 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+46%+$63
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Solana reach $230 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K August 25–31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+60%+$75
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST3073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. Loder (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Naurdiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Cachoeirabacked Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+29%+$45
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Covington vs. Buckleybacked Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+47.1%+$32
Swanson vs. Quarantillobacked Quarantillo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$58
Kape vs. Silvabacked Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+31.6%+$24
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+51.5%+$11
Rakhmonov vs. Garrybacked Rakhmonov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+37%+$13.5
Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$21
Bautista vs. Aldobacked Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$45
Moicano vs. Saint Denisbacked Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$36.5
Ziam vs. Frevolabacked Frevola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$24
Jousset vs. Battlebacked Battle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$20
Gomis vs. Britobacked Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$37.5
Imavov vs. Allenbacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked O’Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$54
Ortega vs. Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Rodriguez vs. Osbournebacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$19
Andrade vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$29
Cannonier vs. Borralhobacked Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$17.98
UFC 304: Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydesbacked Aspinall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$4
UFC 304: Arnold Allen vs. Giga Chikadzebacked Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$10
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$19.24
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$74.06
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$73.09
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$45.78
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27%+$25.69
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+342.5%+$77.4
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG II" debut at #1 in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.2
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG' have over 150k sales in its first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$100.8
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+45.5%+$62.5
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.46
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.38
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.41
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick68cpaid-26.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.54
Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+144.6%+$404.49
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$42.57
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25%+$40
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$69.81
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$61
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Hannover 96: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25.8%+$40.78
Holstein Kiel vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
VfL Bochum vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)backed 1. FC Heidenheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Spread: Bayer Leverkusen (-1.5)backed VfL Wolfsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$73
FC Augsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$18.45
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.7
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Heidenheim end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$57.5
Will FC Augsburg vs. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$39
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,018Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.4%+$533.25
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$27.2
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.5
F1 British Grand Prix: Safety Car? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Piastri vs. Norris backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.3
F1 Austrian Grand Prix: Safety Car? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.84
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+44.6%+$147.35
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+135.3%+$114.99
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+31.9%+$36.3
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+26.2%+$552.79
Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$32
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+25.1%+$215.56
Will George Russell win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+29.4%+$236.19
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+42.9%+$68.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+33.9%+$390.56
Will Lando Norris win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+37%+$70.19
Will Carlos Sainz win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$114.19
Will Charles Leclerc win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$4
Will Charles Leclerc win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+37.9%+$22.5
Will Oscar Piastri win the Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+42.3%+$59.5
Will Lando Norris win the Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$370.71
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$21.89
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.69
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.31
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.25
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will PSG win in regulation?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.4
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$33.6
Will Jamal Musiala be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$11
Will Inter Miami CF win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$12
Will three total goals be scored in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+78.3%+$139.05
Will two total goals be scored in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$87.79
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+38.1%+$82.76
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Bayern Munich advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+35.1%+$18.2
Will Club Brugge beat Celtic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Club Brugge beat Borussia Dortmund?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bilibili Gaming win First Stand 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$123
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+55%+$71
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+197.7%+$321.16
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.9
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Weibo Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
League of Legends: T1 vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
League of Legends: Team Vitality vs. Movistar KOIbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked Invictus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$73.5
League of Legends: Team WE vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. FunPlus Phoenixbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. ThunderTalk Gamingbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
League of Legends: Team WE vs. FunPlus Phoenixbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Team WEbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+84%+$137
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. LGD Gamingbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
League of Legends: T1 vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Dplus KIA win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.56
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.54
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$23.1
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$5.9
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$75.24
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.3
Marlins vs. Metsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$248.45
Pirates vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$263
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$327.6
Rockies vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Royals vs. Twinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Diamondbacks vs. Piratesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rays vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Phillies vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick50cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of July 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.75
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$4.85
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$40.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+352.4%+$45.12
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of March 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$60.1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$21
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$70.33
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$11
All 15 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Oleksandr Usyk KO Tyson Fury?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+50.6%+$67.19
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$165.6
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+59.8%+$449
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+40.8%+$4.4
Will the fight reach the 8th round?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+114.4%+$84.04
Will Anthony Joshua beat Daniel Dubois?backed Joshua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$76
Blonde Broker vs Ashleybacked Blonde Broker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Imane Khelif (ALG) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$71.33
66kg W Boxing Final: Khelif (ALG) vs. Yang (CHN)backed Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will Busenaz Surmeneli (TUR) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$48
Olympic Boxing: Imane Khelif (ALG) vs Luca Hamori (HUN)backed Khelif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$5.37
All 14 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+126.8%+$123
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+60%+$37.5
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,917Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+77.5%+$1,486.21
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+89.8%+$600.19
Will Alireza Firouzja win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$74.43
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$53.7
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 7 of the World Chess Championshipbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$14.4
Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 US Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+52.3%+$169.6
Will India win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+60.3%+$457.96
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$71.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Disney say "Epic Universe" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.96
Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$34.1
Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will AMD say "Helios" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Will Amazon say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85%+$39.99
Will Microsoft say "GitHub" 10+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.68
Will NVIDIA say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Disney say "YouTube TV" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+77.5%+$26.2
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.77
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,399.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.64
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$9.82
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
All 9 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.45per pick58cpaid-83.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-68.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+59.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Liquid win PGL Wallachia Season 7? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis (BO5)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+37%+$27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wisconsin vs. UCLAbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
UConn beats Purdue by >6.5 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Fenerbahce beat Union Saint-Gilloise?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+25.8%+$4
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alan Keating VPIP above 85%? - Celebrity poker game backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.