TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe550…6f6e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT14161.7%87 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$28
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$22.99
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$8.18
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$11.8
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.49
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+777.2%+$79.57
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.8
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$19.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$4.48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+32%+$8.08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$6.03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$6.54
Will Michael Kirwan be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$4.29
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.09
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+435.5%+$66.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AIlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earningslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Lost Weekend" - Phoebe Bridgers first week album sales be between 75k and 90k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.