Asian League · resolved market
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fe53f52649b65a01d8c5508733404a0446e9a9780afef58c0df5fdf175104dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 53c | 31,718$16,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,840.16 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 19c | 4,200$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 25c | 3,925$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 30c | 3,887$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.55 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 3,476$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.65 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 3,396$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.2 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 47c | 3,055$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.85 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 2,296$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.74 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 75c | 2,125$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.63 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 78c | 2,044$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.13 | 158 | 72.2%114 W · 44 L | +34.3wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed No | 26c | 1,954$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 1,840$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.11 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 1,049$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.95 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 25c | 1,023$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.75 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 47c | 856$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.72 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 47c | 757.45$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.17 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 47c | 649.74$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.88 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 450.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 215 | 52.1%112 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 75c | 369.93$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 47c | 362.38$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 47c | 349.58$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked No | 50c | 334$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 299.49$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.75 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 47c | 285.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 47c | 280.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.69 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 51c | 266.04$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 6c | 223.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +14.4wins | +0.21per pick | 14cpaid | +170%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…4d5bbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 56c | 181.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 47c | 174.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 44c | 164.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked No | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 47c | 156$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 47c | 156$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…8ee5backed No | 52c | 132.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 51c | 117$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed No | 44c | 111.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 26c | 104.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 96.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…c9acbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 29c | 67.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 48c | 64.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 27c | 61.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…8b7dbacked No | 31c | 60.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…9747backed Yes | 52c | 58.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked No | 49c | 51.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 54c | 46.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 47c | 44.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 46c | 43.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed No | 45c | 41.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 63c | 41.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 48c | 41.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…f51dbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…1084backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…46d3backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 28c | 38.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 75c | 34.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed No | 47c | 30.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes | 74c | 29.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed No | 47c | 21.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-23?No won
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.