TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3388…61d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,880
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 64 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT39050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 390 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$444
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$243
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+101%+$301.5
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$292.49
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$402
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$246
Colombia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$180
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
United States leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$174
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$330
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$192
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$192
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Mexico leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Brazil leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$117
Showing 25 of 390 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT28851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 288 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)backed CA Mineiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)backed Clube do Remo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.99
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed Cruzeiro EC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.09
CS Independiente Rivadavia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)backed CF Pachuca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.57
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Showing 25 of 288 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT21052.4%110 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.97
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Kashima Antlers vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.05
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$216
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$24.04
Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Kashiwa Reysol leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.99
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.69
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)backed V-Varen Nagasaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$59.05
Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)backed Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+900%+$179.99
Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)backed FC Seoul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$154
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT17062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 170 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Wrexham AFC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$212
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$28.57
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
West Ham United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+102%+$404
Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$288
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.28
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$74.58
Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Showing 25 of 170 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT16960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$103.99
Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)backed San Jose Earthquakes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5
Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Seattle Sounders FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed Austin FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.7
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.91
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.99
Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
FC Cincinnati vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$44.19
D.C. United SC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT14050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Santa Clara vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)backed PEC Zwolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)backed Casa Pia AC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Will Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Beşiktaş JK leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)backed Eyüpspor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)backed Eyüpspor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.99
FC Arouca leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Spread: FC Arouca (-1.5)backed Moreirense FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.99
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-1.5)backed Rams Başakşehir FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)backed AFC Ajax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT12358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)backed KKS Lech Poznań · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
KKS Lech Poznań vs. FC Thun: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)backed Ararat-Armenia FA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Jagiellonia Białystok leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)backed SK Iberia 1999 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
FC Red Bull Salzburg leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.95
Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will KÍ win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.9
KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)backed KKS Lech Poznań · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$35.5
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT12159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$168
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Deportivo Alavés leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Málaga CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Elche CF leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$158
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Real Racing Club leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$200
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT6858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.99
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Olympique Lyonnais leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Viking FK leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will AEK win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$155.99
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$97.99
Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)backed Aarhus GF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.92
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)backed Olympique Lyonnais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)backed Olympiakós SFP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$51.69
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)backed Qairat FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$61
Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-08-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Qairat FK leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)backed FK Crvena zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT6647%31 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$848
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$736
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$784
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$976
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$608
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$880
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$832
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$740.27
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$848
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$544
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$960
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$544
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$330
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$258
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$180
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$282
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$923Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$377
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$663
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Serie A — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$125.17
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$220
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,168
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$608
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,040
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$592
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$784
FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$168.74
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$720
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$164
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,984Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,216
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$896
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$896
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$944
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$588
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$672
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$592
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,024
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed Parma Calcio 1913 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Le Mans FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Will Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$116
Will Paris FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$184
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,493.99
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,072
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$736
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$832
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$464
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,056
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$752
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$864
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$464
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$848
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$448
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$198
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$289.51
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$336
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$368
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$330
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$93.81
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)backed Macarthur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$330
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)backed Central Coast Mariners FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$129.7
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)backed Melbourne Victory FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.3
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
All 20 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.